Hail size 1.75"
7 E Lavina Musselshell County
“Estimated 65 mph gusts. (BYZ)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
/ Storm field report · Golden Valley
Hail in Lavina · Jul 16, 2026
The estimated-size surface reached 2" aloft; NEXRAD logged no point detections over Lavina that day. At 2" — tennis ball — this is a severe hail signal associated with roof damage. Open it on the live map to see the swath over the streets.
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Peak hail signal 2" ≈ tennis ball · radar-estimated size aloft
Homes in the hail footprint 405
Ground reports 4 1 hail · 3 wind
Radar surfaces 1 Estimated size only
Convective day · Jul 16, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The 2nd most severe storm Lavina has seen in the last 12 months
Composite score · 5.3 / 10
Storm severity score
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
5.3 /10
- Peak hail signal
- 50 /100
- Homes exposed
- 52 /100
- Ground truth
- 67 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Lavina saw the hail — from two instruments
Jul 16, 2026 · Lavina, MT
We map this storm two ways: the NEXRAD radar signatures the storm produced overhead, and the radar-estimated size of the hail in the air. The two surfaces don’t have to match — where they diverge is where estimated size aloft ran ahead of, or behind, what the signatures caught.
Radar-estimated hail size Surface resolved
Estimated size field Maximum hail size as estimated from radar aloft. Treat it as the storm's ceiling — the largest supportable stone — rather than a ground measurement.
Max size
2"
Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Jul 16, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Lavina, so there is one map to show, not two.
The storm in context
Where Jul 16, 2026 sits in Lavina's hail record.
This was Lavina's 3rd recorded hail day, arriving 2 days after the Jul 14, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 2nd of the 3 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Lavina at 2" — radar-estimated size aloft.
The Jul 16, 2026 convective day was bigger than Lavina: the same system put hail over 206 other tracked cities, 40 of them in Montana. Nearest: Broadview (19 miles southeast, up to 0.5"); Roundup (23 miles east, up to 1.5"); Acton (25 miles south, up to 0.5").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 3 Lavina storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
4 reports filed with the NWS
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
Hail reports
1 reportWind reports
3 reports Wind gust 70 mph
6 E Lavina Golden Valley County
“Pea size hail and very heavy rain. (BYZ)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Wind gust 66 mph
7 N Lavina Golden Valley County
“(BYZ)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Wind gust 70 mph
10 NNW Lavina Golden Valley County
“(BYZ)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Storm forensics
How the storm moved
Timing and place names from NOAA ground reports
Read from the arrival times and locations of the NOAA ground reports, not a radar-measured storm track.
The storm tracked southeast at roughly 20 mph, based on the timing of ground reports.
Hail was reported over 47 minutes, from to .
Severe hail signal
What 2" hail means for Lavina roofs.
Two-inch-plus hail is capable of puncturing shingles, breaking skylights or windows, and heavily denting soft materials. The strongest radar bands warrant prompt inspection, but neither the signal nor the footprint confirms damage at a specific address.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
405 homes × $12,000 avg. claim
Potential roof exposure
$4.9M
Potential roof exposure — 405 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 2 jobs
- Illustrative work
- ~$30K
Close just 0.5% of the 405 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
July 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around July 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $85 on top of the $150 plan.
Lavina hail history
Other storms in Lavina.
3 recorded storm days in Lavina, MT
The next storm won’t wait for you.
Set your territory and alerts today. When hail hits, use Overview to choose your streets and get moving.
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A storm day here is a convective day — it runs from noon to noon
UTC, so late-night hail is grouped with the afternoon storm that
spawned it rather than split across two calendar dates. Ground
reports are public-domain observations from the NOAA Storm
Prediction Center. Radar tells you where to look. Only an inspection confirms damage at an address. Last updated Aug 3, 2026.