/ Storm field report · Baldwin

Hail in Bay Minette · Jan 3, 2026

The estimated-size surface reached 0.75" aloft; NEXRAD logged no point detections over Bay Minette that day. Open it on the live map to see the swath over the streets.

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Peak hail signal 0.75" ≈ penny to nickel · radar-estimated size aloft
Homes in the hail footprint 424
Ground reports 1 1 hail
Radar surfaces 1 Estimated size only

Convective day · Jan 3, 2026 · noon–noon UTC

Severity

The 4th most severe storm Bay Minette has seen in the last 12 months

Composite score · 2.7 / 10
Storm severity score

Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.

2.7 /10
Peak hail signal
19 /100

Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.

Homes exposed
53 /100

How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.

Ground truth
17 /100

Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.

Evidence / storm surfaces

How Bay Minette saw the hail — from two instruments

Jan 3, 2026 · Bay Minette, AL

Two instruments, one storm: NEXRAD logs the point signatures it detected overhead, while the estimated-size surface models how large the hail aloft could have grown. Agreement between them is not guaranteed — the gaps are where the model ran ahead of, or behind, the detections.

Radar-estimated hail size Surface resolved
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Bay Minette, AL on Jan 3, 2026 Estimated size field

Radar-estimated maximum hail size across the swath, modeled from radar aloft. It reflects the biggest stone the storm could support, which may differ from what actually fell.

Max size 0.75"

Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Jan 3, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Bay Minette, so there is one map to show, not two.

The storm in context

Where Jan 3, 2026 sits in Bay Minette's hail record.

This was Bay Minette's 1st recorded hail day — the first hail day in our records for the city. By severity it ranks 4th of the 15 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Bay Minette at 0.75" — radar-estimated size aloft.

The Jan 3, 2026 convective day was bigger than Bay Minette: the same system put hail over 18 other tracked cities, 5 of them in Alabama. Nearest: Robertsdale (6 miles east, up to 0.5"); Molino (18 miles east, up to 0.5"); Stockton (35 miles north, up to 0.5").

These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 15 Bay Minette storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.

Ground reports

What people on the ground reported

1 report filed with the NWS

These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.

Hail reports

1 report
Hail size 1"
1 SE Crossroads Baldwin County

“Quarter sized hail near Crossroads. (MOB)”

— NOAA / SPC storm report

Storm forensics

How the storm moved

Timing and place names from NOAA ground reports

Read from the arrival times and locations of the NOAA ground reports, not a radar-measured storm track.

Reports came from Crossroads — beyond Bay Minette itself.

Near the severe threshold

What 0.75" hail means for Bay Minette roofs.

A signal this size sits near the National Weather Service severe threshold. Aging shingles and soft metals such as vents, flashing, and gutters may be more vulnerable; roof age, wind, and material condition all matter, and only an inspection can confirm damage.

Radar reading · not confirmed damage

Roofing exposure

What this storm is worth to a roofer.

424 homes × $12,000 avg. claim

Potential roof exposure

$5.1M

Potential roof exposure — 424 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.

Illustrative jobs
2 jobs
Illustrative work
~$30K

Close just 0.5% of the 424 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.

Claim window

January 2028

Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around January 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.

Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $89 on top of the $150 plan.

Bay Minette hail history

15 recorded storm days in Bay Minette, AL
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Bay Minette, AL on Sep 20, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Bay Minette / AL

Sep 20, 2026

0.75"
Estimated 0.75"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Map unavailable
NEXRAD surface
Storm date Bay Minette / AL

Aug 20, 2026

0.5"
Estimated 0.5"
1 ground report Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Bay Minette, AL on Aug 19, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Bay Minette / AL

Aug 19, 2026

0.5"
Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Bay Minette, AL on Aug 18, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Bay Minette / AL

Aug 18, 2026

0.75"
Estimated 0.75"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Bay Minette, AL on Aug 7, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Bay Minette / AL

Aug 7, 2026

0.5"
Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Bay Minette, AL on Jul 30, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Bay Minette / AL

Jul 30, 2026

1"
Signatures 1" Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Bay Minette, AL on Jul 19, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Bay Minette / AL

Jul 19, 2026

0.5"
Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Bay Minette, AL on Jul 7, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Bay Minette / AL

Jul 7, 2026

2"
Signatures 2" Estimated 1"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Bay Minette, AL on Jul 5, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Bay Minette / AL

Jul 5, 2026

0.75"
Signatures 0.75" Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Bay Minette, AL on Jun 30, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Bay Minette / AL

Jun 30, 2026

2.75"
Signatures 2.75" Estimated 1.75"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Bay Minette, AL on Jun 23, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Bay Minette / AL

Jun 23, 2026

0.75"
Estimated 0.75"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Bay Minette, AL on Jun 19, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Bay Minette / AL

Jun 19, 2026

0.75"
Estimated 0.75"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Bay Minette, AL on May 8, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Bay Minette / AL

May 8, 2026

1.5"
Signatures 1.5" Estimated 0.75"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Bay Minette, AL on May 6, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Bay Minette / AL

May 6, 2026

1"
Signatures 1" Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →

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A storm day here is a convective day — it runs from noon to noon UTC, so late-night hail is grouped with the afternoon storm that spawned it rather than split across two calendar dates. Ground reports are public-domain observations from the NOAA Storm Prediction Center. Radar tells you where to look. Only an inspection confirms damage at an address. Last updated Sep 21, 2026.