Hail in Ash Fork · Jul 18, 2026
Convective day · Jul 18, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The 4th most severe storm Ash Fork has seen in the last 12 months
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
- Peak hail signal
- 13 /100
- Homes exposed
- 40 /100
- Ground truth
- 0 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Ash Fork saw the hail — from two instruments
Two instruments, one storm: NEXRAD logs the point signatures it detected overhead, while the estimated-size surface models how large the hail aloft could have grown. Agreement between them is not guaranteed — the gaps are where the model ran ahead of, or behind, the detections.
Estimated size field Radar-estimated maximum hail size across the swath, modeled from radar aloft. It reflects the biggest stone the storm could support, which may differ from what actually fell.
Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Jul 18, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Ash Fork, so there is one map to show, not two.
The storm in context
Where Jul 18, 2026 sits in Ash Fork's hail record.
This was Ash Fork's 3rd recorded hail day, arriving 1 day after the Jul 17, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 4th of the 10 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Ash Fork at 0.5" — radar-estimated size aloft.
The Jul 18, 2026 convective day was bigger than Ash Fork: the same system put hail over 377 other tracked cities, 15 of them in Arizona. Nearest: Seligman (30 miles west, up to 0.5"); Peach Springs (35 miles west, up to 0.75"); Cornville (60 miles southeast, up to 0.5").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 10 Ash Fork storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
For this storm over Ash Fork, the NWS report log is empty — a common outcome, since ground reports only happen when someone witnesses the hail and takes the time to call it in. The detection record for the date lives in the radar maps above.
Below the severe threshold
What 0.5" hail means for Ash Fork roofs.
Radar signals under three-quarters of an inch stay below the National Weather Service severe threshold and generally indicate lower roof risk. Older or already-worn materials can still show effects, but radar alone cannot determine whether a specific roof was damaged.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
Potential roof exposure
$1.2M
Potential roof exposure — 100 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 1 job
- Illustrative work
- ~$15K
Close just 0.5% of the 100 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
July 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around July 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $21 on top of the $150 plan.
Ash Fork hail history
Other storms in Ash Fork.
Estimated-size surface Aug 29, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Aug 28, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Aug 20, 2026
1.5"
Estimated-size surface Aug 8, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Aug 6, 2026
1.25"
Estimated-size surface Jul 29, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Jul 20, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Jul 17, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Jun 14, 2026
0.75"The next storm won’t wait for you.
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