/ Storm field report · Cochise

Hail in Elfrida · Oct 19, 2026

Hit 3 days ago

The estimated-size surface reached 1.5" aloft; NEXRAD logged no point detections over Elfrida that day. Open it on the live map to see the swath over the streets.

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Peak hail signal 1.5" ≈ ping-pong ball · radar-estimated size aloft
Homes in the hail footprint 715
Ground reports 1 1 hail
Radar surfaces 1 Estimated size only

Convective day · Oct 19, 2026 · noon–noon UTC

Severity

The most severe storm Elfrida has seen in the last 12 months

Composite score · 3.9 / 10
Storm severity score

Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.

3.9 /10
Peak hail signal
38 /100

Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.

Homes exposed
57 /100

How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.

Ground truth
17 /100

Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.

Evidence / storm surfaces

How Elfrida saw the hail — from two instruments

Oct 19, 2026 · Elfrida, AZ

The maps here read the same storm from two angles — point detections from NEXRAD, and modeled hail size aloft. Where the two disagree is informative: it marks where estimated size outran the signatures, or trailed them.

Radar-estimated hail size Surface resolved
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Elfrida, AZ on Oct 19, 2026 Estimated size field

The modeled maximum hail size across the swath, derived from radar aloft — the largest stone the storm could have supported, which is not necessarily what reached the ground.

Max size 1.5"

Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Oct 19, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Elfrida, so there is one map to show, not two.

The storm in context

Where Oct 19, 2026 sits in Elfrida's hail record.

This was Elfrida's 9th recorded hail day, arriving 61 days after the Aug 19, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 1st of the 9 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Elfrida at 1.5" — radar-estimated size aloft.

The Oct 19, 2026 convective day was bigger than Elfrida: the same system put hail over 9 other tracked cities, 5 of them in Arizona. Nearest: Mc Neal (11 miles south, up to 1.25"); Douglas (16 miles southeast, up to 0.75"); San Simon (33 miles east, up to 2").

These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 9 Elfrida storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.

Ground reports

What people on the ground reported

1 report filed with the NWS

These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.

Hail reports

1 report
Hail size 1.25"
18 N Pirtleville Cochise County

“Half Dollar 1.25 inch diameter hail. No damage reported. (TWC)”

— NOAA / SPC storm report

Storm forensics

How the storm moved

Timing and place names from NOAA ground reports

Read from the arrival times and locations of the NOAA ground reports, not a radar-measured storm track.

Reports came from Pirtleville — beyond Elfrida itself.

High damage potential

What 1.5" hail means for Elfrida roofs.

Hail around an inch and a half is capable of cracking shingles, stripping granules, and denting gutters, vents, and siding. Risk is usually greatest near the strongest radar signal, but property-level damage still requires an on-site inspection.

Radar reading · not confirmed damage

Roofing exposure

What this storm is worth to a roofer.

715 homes × $12,000 avg. claim

Potential roof exposure

$8.6M

Potential roof exposure — 715 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.

Illustrative jobs
4 jobs
Illustrative work
~$60K

Close just 0.5% of the 715 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.

Claim window

October 2028

Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around October 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.

Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $150 on top of the $150 plan.

Elfrida hail history

9 recorded storm days in Elfrida, AZ

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A storm day here is a convective day — it runs from noon to noon UTC, so late-night hail is grouped with the afternoon storm that spawned it rather than split across two calendar dates. Ground reports are public-domain observations from the NOAA Storm Prediction Center. Radar tells you where to look. Only an inspection confirms damage at an address. Last updated Oct 20, 2026.