Hail in Nogales · Sep 23, 2026
The estimated-size surface reached 1" aloft; NEXRAD logged no point detections over Nogales that day. Open it on the live map to see the swath over the streets.
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Convective day · Sep 23, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The 2nd most severe storm Nogales has seen in the last 12 months
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
- Peak hail signal
- 25 /100
- Homes exposed
- 58 /100
- Ground truth
- 0 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Nogales saw the hail — from two instruments
Each storm gets two readings: the radar signatures NEXRAD recorded as the cells passed overhead, and a modeled estimate of hail size in the air. They are independent surfaces, so a mismatch between them is expected — and worth reading.
Radar-estimated hail size over the swath. The model reports the biggest stone the storm could sustain in the air; what actually fell may have been smaller.
Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Sep 23, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Nogales, so there is one map to show, not two.
The storm in context
Where Sep 23, 2026 sits in Nogales's hail record.
This was Nogales's 15th recorded hail day, arriving 11 days after the Sep 12, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 2nd of the 15 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Nogales at 1" — radar-estimated size aloft.
The Sep 23, 2026 convective day was bigger than Nogales: the same system put hail over 29 other tracked cities, 9 of them in Arizona. Nearest: Rio Rico (16 miles northwest, up to 0.5"); Tubac (20 miles northwest, up to 0.5"); Lukeville (121 miles west, up to 0.5").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 15 Nogales storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
For this storm over Nogales, the NWS report log is empty — a common outcome, since ground reports only happen when someone witnesses the hail and takes the time to call it in. The detection record for the date lives in the radar maps above.
Damage-capable hail signal
What 1" hail means for Nogales roofs.
Quarter-size and larger hail can bruise asphalt mats, remove granules, and dent exposed soft metal. The mapped footprint identifies an inspection priority area — it does not identify which individual roofs, if any, sustained damage.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
Potential roof exposure
$9.8M
Potential roof exposure — 814 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 4 jobs
- Illustrative work
- ~$60K
Close just 0.5% of the 814 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
September 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around September 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $171 on top of the $150 plan.
Nogales hail history
Other storms in Nogales.
Estimated-size surface Sep 12, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Sep 11, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Aug 26, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Aug 23, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Aug 22, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Aug 21, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Aug 19, 2026
1.5"
Estimated-size surface Aug 11, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Aug 7, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Aug 3, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Jul 18, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Jul 12, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Jul 11, 2026
1.25"
Estimated-size surface Jun 17, 2026
1"The next storm won’t wait for you.
Set your territory and alerts today. When hail hits, use Overview to choose your streets and get moving.
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