“reported at this location and continued for a mile north. (GLD)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Hail in Cope · May 21, 2026
Convective day · May 21, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The 2nd most severe storm Cope has seen in the last 12 months
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
- Peak hail signal
- 44 /100
- Homes exposed
- 52 /100
- Ground truth
- 17 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Cope saw the hail — from two instruments
Two instruments, one storm: NEXRAD logs the point signatures it detected overhead, while the estimated-size surface models how large the hail aloft could have grown. Agreement between them is not guaranteed — the gaps are where the model ran ahead of, or behind, the detections.
Estimated size field Radar-estimated maximum hail size across the swath, modeled from radar aloft. It reflects the biggest stone the storm could support, which may differ from what actually fell.
Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for May 21, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Cope, so there is one map to show, not two.
The storm in context
Where May 21, 2026 sits in Cope's hail record.
This was Cope's 2nd recorded hail day, arriving 25 days after the Apr 26, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 2nd of the 9 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Cope at 1.75" — radar-estimated size aloft.
The May 21, 2026 convective day was bigger than Cope: the same system put hail over 120 other tracked cities, 20 of them in Colorado. Nearest: Joes (5 miles east, up to 0.5"); Flagler (15 miles southwest, up to 2.25"); Vona (17 miles south, up to 1.25").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 9 Cope storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
Hail reports
1 reportStorm forensics
How the storm moved
Read from the arrival times and locations of the NOAA ground reports, not a radar-measured storm track.
Reports came from Joes — beyond Cope itself.
High damage potential
What 1.75" hail means for Cope roofs.
Hail around an inch and a half is capable of cracking shingles, stripping granules, and denting gutters, vents, and siding. Risk is usually greatest near the strongest radar signal, but property-level damage still requires an on-site inspection.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
Potential roof exposure
$4.6M
Potential roof exposure — 387 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 2 jobs
- Illustrative work
- ~$30K
Close just 0.5% of the 387 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
May 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around May 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $81 on top of the $150 plan.
Estimated-size surface Aug 19, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Jul 28, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Jul 22, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Jul 9, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Jul 4, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Jul 3, 2026
1.75"
Estimated-size surface Jun 22, 2026
3"
NEXRAD surface Apr 26, 2026
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