Hail size 1.25"
2 WSW Flagler Kit Carson County
“Report of 1-1.25 inch soft/accumulating hail. (GLD)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
/ Storm field report · Kit Carson
Hail in Flagler · Sep 19, 2026
Hit 2 days ago
The estimated-size surface reached 2.75" aloft; NEXRAD logged no point detections over Flagler that day. At 2.75" — baseball — this is a severe hail signal associated with roof damage. Open it on the live map to see the swath over the streets.
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Peak hail signal 2.75" ≈ baseball · radar-estimated size aloft
Homes in the hail footprint 855
Ground reports 2 2 hail
Radar surfaces 1 Estimated size only
Convective day · Sep 19, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The 5th most severe storm Flagler has seen in the last 12 months
Composite score · 6.1 / 10
Storm severity score
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
6.1 /10
- Peak hail signal
- 69 /100
- Homes exposed
- 59 /100
- Ground truth
- 33 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Flagler saw the hail — from two instruments
Sep 19, 2026 · Flagler, CO
Two instruments, one storm: NEXRAD logs the point signatures it detected overhead, while the estimated-size surface models how large the hail aloft could have grown. Agreement between them is not guaranteed — the gaps are where the model ran ahead of, or behind, the detections.
Radar-estimated hail size Surface resolved
Map image is still rendering for this surface.
Radar-estimated maximum hail size across the swath, modeled from radar aloft. It reflects the biggest stone the storm could support, which may differ from what actually fell.
Max size
2.75"
Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Sep 19, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Flagler, so there is one map to show, not two.
The storm in context
Where Sep 19, 2026 sits in Flagler's hail record.
This was Flagler's 18th recorded hail day, arriving 1 day after the Sep 18, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 5th of the 18 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Flagler at 2.75" — radar-estimated size aloft.
The Sep 19, 2026 convective day was bigger than Flagler: the same system put hail over 336 other tracked cities, 27 of them in Colorado. Nearest: Seibert (11 miles east, up to 2.75"); Arriba (11 miles west, up to 2.25"); Hugo (17 miles southwest, up to 2.25").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 18 Flagler storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
2 reports filed with the NWS
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
Hail reports
2 reports Hail size 1.75"
3 E Flagler Kit Carson County
“Public reported golf ball size hail near Flagler... CO. (GLD)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Storm forensics
How the storm moved
Timing and place names from NOAA ground reports
Read from the arrival times and locations of the NOAA ground reports, not a radar-measured storm track.
Hail was reported over 19 minutes, from to .
Severe hail signal
What 2.75" hail means for Flagler roofs.
Two-inch-plus hail is capable of puncturing shingles, breaking skylights or windows, and heavily denting soft materials. The strongest radar bands warrant prompt inspection, but neither the signal nor the footprint confirms damage at a specific address.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
855 homes × $12,000 avg. claim
Potential roof exposure
$10M
Potential roof exposure — 855 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 4 jobs
- Illustrative work
- ~$60K
Close just 0.5% of the 855 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
September 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around September 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $180 on top of the $150 plan.
Flagler hail history
Other storms in Flagler.
18 recorded storm days in Flagler, CO
Estimated-size surface Storm date Flagler / CO
Sep 18, 2026
0.5" Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Estimated-size surface Storm date Flagler / CO
Aug 26, 2026
0.5" Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Estimated-size surface Storm date Flagler / CO
Aug 19, 2026
4" Estimated 4"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Estimated-size surface Storm date Flagler / CO
Jul 28, 2026
1" Signatures 1" Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Estimated-size surface Storm date Flagler / CO
Jul 22, 2026
2.5" Signatures 2.5" Estimated 1.75"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Estimated-size surface Storm date Flagler / CO
Jul 9, 2026
0.75" Signatures 0.75"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Estimated-size surface Storm date Flagler / CO
Jul 7, 2026
1" Signatures 1" Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Estimated-size surface Storm date Flagler / CO
Jul 4, 2026
4" Signatures 4" Estimated 1"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Estimated-size surface Storm date Flagler / CO
Jul 3, 2026
4" Signatures 4" Estimated 3.75"
1 ground report Open report →
Estimated-size surface Storm date Flagler / CO
Jun 26, 2026
2.5" Signatures 2.5" Estimated 1.25"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Estimated-size surface Storm date Flagler / CO
Jun 24, 2026
1.25" Estimated 1.25"
1 ground report Open report →
Estimated-size surface Storm date Flagler / CO
Jun 21, 2026
1" Estimated 1"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Estimated-size surface Storm date Flagler / CO
Jun 20, 2026
0.5" Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Estimated-size surface Storm date Flagler / CO
Jun 8, 2026
2.5" Signatures 2.5" Estimated 2.5"
1 ground report Open report →
Estimated-size surface Storm date Flagler / CO
May 21, 2026
2.25" Estimated 2.25"
7 ground reports Open report →
Estimated-size surface Storm date Flagler / CO
May 17, 2026
2" Signatures 2" Estimated 1.25"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Estimated-size surface Storm date Flagler / CO
May 16, 2026
1.75" Signatures 1.75" Estimated 1"
No ground reports filed Open report →
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A storm day here is a convective day — it runs from noon to noon
UTC, so late-night hail is grouped with the afternoon storm that
spawned it rather than split across two calendar dates. Ground
reports are public-domain observations from the NOAA Storm
Prediction Center. Radar tells you where to look. Only an inspection confirms damage at an address. Last updated Sep 20, 2026.