“AWN; Sears_Home_Weather. (GLD)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Hail in Joes · May 16, 2026
Convective day · May 16, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The 3rd most severe storm Joes has seen in the last 12 months
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
- Peak hail signal
- 31 /100
- Homes exposed
- 45 /100
- Ground truth
- 17 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Joes saw the hail — from two instruments
Two instruments, one storm: NEXRAD logs the point signatures it detected overhead, while the estimated-size surface models how large the hail aloft could have grown. Agreement between them is not guaranteed — the gaps are where the model ran ahead of, or behind, the detections.
Radar signature field NEXRAD's hail signatures for this storm: the spots the radar detected from above. A detection overhead is not the same thing as a confirmed stone below.
Estimated size field Radar-estimated maximum hail size across the swath, modeled from radar aloft. It reflects the biggest stone the storm could support, which may differ from what actually fell.
The storm in context
Where May 16, 2026 sits in Joes's hail record.
This was Joes's 2nd recorded hail day, arriving 20 days after the Apr 26, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 3rd of the 10 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Joes at 1.25" — the largest NEXRAD radar signature.
The May 16, 2026 convective day was bigger than Joes: the same system put hail over 711 other tracked cities, 30 of them in Colorado. Nearest: Kirk (5 miles east, up to 1.25"); Vona (17 miles south, up to 1.75"); Flagler (19 miles southwest, up to 1.75").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 10 Joes storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
Wind reports
1 reportDamage-capable hail signal
What 1.25" hail means for Joes roofs.
Quarter-size and larger hail can bruise asphalt mats, remove granules, and dent exposed soft metal. The mapped footprint identifies an inspection priority area — it does not identify which individual roofs, if any, sustained damage.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
Potential roof exposure
$2.1M
Potential roof exposure — 171 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 1 job
- Illustrative work
- ~$15K
Close just 0.5% of the 171 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
May 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around May 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $36 on top of the $150 plan.
Estimated-size surface Aug 19, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Jul 28, 2026
NEXRAD surface Jul 9, 2026
Estimated-size surface Jun 30, 2026
1.5"
Estimated-size surface Jun 26, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Jun 22, 2026
3"
Estimated-size surface Jun 21, 2026
1.5"
Estimated-size surface May 21, 2026
0.5"
NEXRAD surface Apr 26, 2026
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