Hail in Lake Alfred · Jul 13, 2026
Convective day · Jul 13, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The 3rd most severe storm Lake Alfred has seen in the last 12 months
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
- Peak hail signal
- 25 /100
- Homes exposed
- 54 /100
- Ground truth
- 0 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Lake Alfred saw the hail — from two instruments
The maps here read the same storm from two angles — point detections from NEXRAD, and modeled hail size aloft. Where the two disagree is informative: it marks where estimated size outran the signatures, or trailed them.
Radar signature field Where NEXRAD flagged hail as the storm passed — point signatures from the radar, which indicate hail overhead rather than confirm what landed.
Estimated size field The modeled maximum hail size across the swath, derived from radar aloft — the largest stone the storm could have supported, which is not necessarily what reached the ground.
The storm in context
Where Jul 13, 2026 sits in Lake Alfred's hail record.
This was Lake Alfred's 4th recorded hail day, arriving 16 days after the Jun 27, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 3rd of the 5 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Lake Alfred at 1" — the largest NEXRAD radar signature.
The Jul 13, 2026 convective day was bigger than Lake Alfred: the same system put hail over 92 other tracked cities, 32 of them in Florida. Nearest: Auburndale (6 miles west, up to 1"); Winter Haven (7 miles south, up to 1"); Kissimmee (16 miles east, up to 0.5").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 5 Lake Alfred storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
Nobody on the ground filed a report over Lake Alfred for this date, which says more about who was watching than about the storm: spotter reports only exist where there is an observer. The radar surfaces above carry the evidence for this one.
Damage-capable hail signal
What 1" hail means for Lake Alfred roofs.
Quarter-size and larger hail can bruise asphalt mats, remove granules, and dent exposed soft metal. The mapped footprint identifies an inspection priority area — it does not identify which individual roofs, if any, sustained damage.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
Potential roof exposure
$6.2M
Potential roof exposure — 519 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 3 jobs
- Illustrative work
- ~$45K
Close just 0.5% of the 519 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
July 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around July 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $109 on top of the $150 plan.
Lake Alfred hail history
Other storms in Lake Alfred.
Estimated-size surface Sep 12, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Jun 27, 2026
1.25"
Estimated-size surface Mar 15, 2026
1.25"
NEXRAD surface Mar 5, 2026
0.75"The next storm won’t wait for you.
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