/ Storm field report · Hillsborough

Hail in Lithia · Mar 15, 2026

NEXRAD logged 23 hail signatures up to 2.5"; the estimated-size surface reached 1" aloft. At 2.5" — baseball — this is a severe hail signal associated with roof damage. Open it on the live map to see the swath over the streets.

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Peak hail signal 2.5" ≈ baseball · the largest NEXRAD radar signature
Homes in the hail footprint 555
Ground reports 0 none filed
Radar surfaces 2 NEXRAD + estimated size

Convective day · Mar 15, 2026 · noon–noon UTC

Severity

The 2nd most severe storm Lithia has seen in the last 12 months

Composite score · 5.1 / 10
Storm severity score

Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.

5.1 /10
Peak hail signal
63 /100

Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.

Homes exposed
55 /100

How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.

Ground truth
0 /100

Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.

Evidence / storm surfaces

How Lithia saw the hail — from two instruments

Mar 15, 2026 · Lithia, FL

Two instruments, one storm: NEXRAD logs the point signatures it detected overhead, while the estimated-size surface models how large the hail aloft could have grown. Agreement between them is not guaranteed — the gaps are where the model ran ahead of, or behind, the detections.

NEXRAD radar signatures Surface resolved
NEXRAD radar-signature map of the hail storm over Lithia, FL on Mar 15, 2026 Radar signature field

NEXRAD's hail signatures for this storm: the spots the radar detected from above. A detection overhead is not the same thing as a confirmed stone below.

Max size 2.5" Detections 23
Radar-estimated hail size Surface resolved
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Lithia, FL on Mar 15, 2026 Estimated size field

Radar-estimated maximum hail size across the swath, modeled from radar aloft. It reflects the biggest stone the storm could support, which may differ from what actually fell.

Max size 1"

The storm in context

Where Mar 15, 2026 sits in Lithia's hail record.

This was Lithia's 2nd recorded hail day, arriving 10 days after the Mar 5, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 2nd of the 14 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Lithia at 2.5" — the largest NEXRAD radar signature.

The Mar 15, 2026 convective day was bigger than Lithia: the same system put hail over 695 other tracked cities, 66 of them in Florida. Nearest: Mulberry (9 miles southeast, up to 2.5"); Wimauma (14 miles southwest, up to 2.25"); Bowling Green (14 miles southeast, up to 2.5").

These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 14 Lithia storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.

Ground reports

What people on the ground reported

No reports filed with the NWS

These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.

For this storm over Lithia, the NWS report log is empty — a common outcome, since ground reports only happen when someone witnesses the hail and takes the time to call it in. The detection record for the date lives in the radar maps above.

Severe hail signal

What 2.5" hail means for Lithia roofs.

Two-inch-plus hail is capable of puncturing shingles, breaking skylights or windows, and heavily denting soft materials. The strongest radar bands warrant prompt inspection, but neither the signal nor the footprint confirms damage at a specific address.

Radar reading · not confirmed damage

Roofing exposure

What this storm is worth to a roofer.

555 homes × $12,000 avg. claim

Potential roof exposure

$6.7M

Potential roof exposure — 555 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.

Illustrative jobs
3 jobs
Illustrative work
~$45K

Close just 0.5% of the 555 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.

Claim window

March 2028

Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around March 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.

Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $117 on top of the $150 plan.

Lithia hail history

14 recorded storm days in Lithia, FL
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Lithia, FL on Aug 31, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Lithia / FL

Aug 31, 2026

0.5"
Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Lithia, FL on Aug 14, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Lithia / FL

Aug 14, 2026

1.5"
Estimated 1.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Lithia, FL on Jul 25, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Lithia / FL

Jul 25, 2026

2"
Signatures 2" Estimated 0.75"
No ground reports filed Open report →
NEXRAD radar-signature map of the hail storm over Lithia, FL on Jul 22, 2026 NEXRAD surface
Storm date Lithia / FL

Jul 22, 2026

No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Lithia, FL on Jul 11, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Lithia / FL

Jul 11, 2026

0.75"
Signatures 0.75" Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Lithia, FL on Jul 10, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Lithia / FL

Jul 10, 2026

1.75"
Signatures 1.75" Estimated 0.75"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Lithia, FL on Jul 6, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Lithia / FL

Jul 6, 2026

1"
Signatures 1"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Lithia, FL on Jun 30, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Lithia / FL

Jun 30, 2026

1.25"
Signatures 1.25" Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Lithia, FL on Jun 28, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Lithia / FL

Jun 28, 2026

0.75"
Signatures 0.75"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Lithia, FL on Jun 27, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Lithia / FL

Jun 27, 2026

1.75"
Signatures 1.75" Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Lithia, FL on May 23, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Lithia / FL

May 23, 2026

0.5"
Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Lithia, FL on May 21, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Lithia / FL

May 21, 2026

0.5"
Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Lithia, FL on Mar 5, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Lithia / FL

Mar 5, 2026

2.5"
Signatures 2.5" Estimated 1.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →

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A storm day here is a convective day — it runs from noon to noon UTC, so late-night hail is grouped with the afternoon storm that spawned it rather than split across two calendar dates. Ground reports are public-domain observations from the NOAA Storm Prediction Center. Radar tells you where to look. Only an inspection confirms damage at an address. Last updated Sep 1, 2026.