/ Storm field report · Cherokee

Hail in Aurelia · May 15, 2026

NEXRAD logged 0 hail signatures up to 1.75"; the estimated-size surface reached 1.25" aloft. Open it on the live map to see the swath over the streets.

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Peak hail signal 1.75" ≈ golf ball · the largest NEXRAD radar signature
Homes in the hail footprint 1,584
Ground reports 0 none filed
Radar surfaces 2 NEXRAD + estimated size

Convective day · May 15, 2026 · noon–noon UTC

Severity

The 2nd most severe storm Aurelia has seen in the last 12 months

Composite score · 4.2 / 10
Storm severity score

Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.

4.2 /10
Peak hail signal
44 /100

Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.

Homes exposed
64 /100

How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.

Ground truth
0 /100

Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.

Evidence / storm surfaces

How Aurelia saw the hail — from two instruments

May 15, 2026 · Aurelia, IA

We map this storm two ways: the NEXRAD radar signatures the storm produced overhead, and the radar-estimated size of the hail in the air. The two surfaces don’t have to match — where they diverge is where estimated size aloft ran ahead of, or behind, what the signatures caught.

NEXRAD radar signatures Surface resolved
NEXRAD radar-signature map of the hail storm over Aurelia, IA on May 15, 2026 Radar signature field

NEXRAD radar signatures — the point detections the storm produced overhead. A signature is where the radar saw hail, not a confirmed stone on the ground.

Max size 1.75" Detections 0
Radar-estimated hail size Surface resolved
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Aurelia, IA on May 15, 2026 Estimated size field

Maximum hail size as estimated from radar aloft. Treat it as the storm's ceiling — the largest supportable stone — rather than a ground measurement.

Max size 1.25"

The storm in context

Where May 15, 2026 sits in Aurelia's hail record.

This was Aurelia's 3rd recorded hail day, arriving 22 days after the Apr 23, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 2nd of the 13 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Aurelia at 1.75" — the largest NEXRAD radar signature.

The May 15, 2026 convective day was bigger than Aurelia: the same system put hail over 444 other tracked cities, 236 of them in Iowa. Nearest: Cherokee (5 miles west, up to 1.75"); Alta (6 miles southeast, up to 2.5"); Peterson (10 miles north, up to 1.75").

These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 13 Aurelia storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.

Ground reports

What people on the ground reported

No reports filed with the NWS

These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.

For this storm over Aurelia, the NWS report log is empty — a common outcome, since ground reports only happen when someone witnesses the hail and takes the time to call it in. The detection record for the date lives in the radar maps above.

High damage potential

What 1.75" hail means for Aurelia roofs.

Hail around an inch and a half is capable of cracking shingles, stripping granules, and denting gutters, vents, and siding. Risk is usually greatest near the strongest radar signal, but property-level damage still requires an on-site inspection.

Radar reading · not confirmed damage

Roofing exposure

What this storm is worth to a roofer.

1,584 homes × $12,000 avg. claim

Potential roof exposure

$19M

Potential roof exposure — 1,584 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.

Illustrative jobs
8 jobs
Illustrative work
~$120K

Close just 0.5% of the 1,584 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.

Claim window

May 2028

Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around May 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.

Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $333 on top of the $150 plan.

Aurelia hail history

13 recorded storm days in Aurelia, IA
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Aurelia, IA on Sep 5, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Aurelia / IA

Sep 5, 2026

0.75"
Estimated 0.75"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Aurelia, IA on Aug 10, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Aurelia / IA

Aug 10, 2026

1"
Estimated 1"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Aurelia, IA on Jul 8, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Aurelia / IA

Jul 8, 2026

1.25"
Signatures 1.25" Estimated 0.75"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Aurelia, IA on Jul 2, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Aurelia / IA

Jul 2, 2026

1.5"
Signatures 1.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Aurelia, IA on Jul 1, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Aurelia / IA

Jul 1, 2026

1"
Signatures 1" Estimated 0.75"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Aurelia, IA on Jun 30, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Aurelia / IA

Jun 30, 2026

1"
Signatures 1" Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Aurelia, IA on Jun 27, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Aurelia / IA

Jun 27, 2026

1"
Signatures 1"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Aurelia, IA on Jun 16, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Aurelia / IA

Jun 16, 2026

1"
Estimated 1"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Aurelia, IA on Jun 9, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Aurelia / IA

Jun 9, 2026

0.5"
Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Aurelia, IA on May 18, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Aurelia / IA

May 18, 2026

1.5"
Signatures 1.5" Estimated 0.75"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Aurelia, IA on Apr 23, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Aurelia / IA

Apr 23, 2026

2.5"
Signatures 2.5" Estimated 1.5"
1 ground report Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Aurelia, IA on Apr 13, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Aurelia / IA

Apr 13, 2026

1.75"
Signatures 1.75" Estimated 1"
No ground reports filed Open report →

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A storm day here is a convective day — it runs from noon to noon UTC, so late-night hail is grouped with the afternoon storm that spawned it rather than split across two calendar dates. Ground reports are public-domain observations from the NOAA Storm Prediction Center. Radar tells you where to look. Only an inspection confirms damage at an address. Last updated Sep 6, 2026.