Hail in Aurelia · May 15, 2026
Convective day · May 15, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The 2nd most severe storm Aurelia has seen in the last 12 months
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
- Peak hail signal
- 44 /100
- Homes exposed
- 64 /100
- Ground truth
- 0 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Aurelia saw the hail — from two instruments
We map this storm two ways: the NEXRAD radar signatures the storm produced overhead, and the radar-estimated size of the hail in the air. The two surfaces don’t have to match — where they diverge is where estimated size aloft ran ahead of, or behind, what the signatures caught.
Radar signature field NEXRAD radar signatures — the point detections the storm produced overhead. A signature is where the radar saw hail, not a confirmed stone on the ground.
Estimated size field Maximum hail size as estimated from radar aloft. Treat it as the storm's ceiling — the largest supportable stone — rather than a ground measurement.
The storm in context
Where May 15, 2026 sits in Aurelia's hail record.
This was Aurelia's 3rd recorded hail day, arriving 22 days after the Apr 23, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 2nd of the 13 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Aurelia at 1.75" — the largest NEXRAD radar signature.
The May 15, 2026 convective day was bigger than Aurelia: the same system put hail over 444 other tracked cities, 236 of them in Iowa. Nearest: Cherokee (5 miles west, up to 1.75"); Alta (6 miles southeast, up to 2.5"); Peterson (10 miles north, up to 1.75").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 13 Aurelia storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
For this storm over Aurelia, the NWS report log is empty — a common outcome, since ground reports only happen when someone witnesses the hail and takes the time to call it in. The detection record for the date lives in the radar maps above.
High damage potential
What 1.75" hail means for Aurelia roofs.
Hail around an inch and a half is capable of cracking shingles, stripping granules, and denting gutters, vents, and siding. Risk is usually greatest near the strongest radar signal, but property-level damage still requires an on-site inspection.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
Potential roof exposure
$19M
Potential roof exposure — 1,584 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 8 jobs
- Illustrative work
- ~$120K
Close just 0.5% of the 1,584 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
May 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around May 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $333 on top of the $150 plan.
Aurelia hail history
Other storms in Aurelia.
Estimated-size surface Sep 5, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Aug 10, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Jul 8, 2026
1.25"
Estimated-size surface Jul 2, 2026
1.5"
Estimated-size surface Jul 1, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Jun 30, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Jun 27, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Jun 16, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Jun 9, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface May 18, 2026
1.5"
Estimated-size surface Apr 23, 2026
2.5"
Estimated-size surface Apr 13, 2026
1.75"The next storm won’t wait for you.
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