“Mobile home rolled over with occupants trapped. Three houses with roof off. (ILX)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Hail in Flat Rock · Feb 19, 2026
The estimated-size surface reached 1" aloft; NEXRAD logged no point detections over Flat Rock that day. Open it on the live map to see the swath over the streets.
A tornado was also reported to the National Weather Service during this storm. The ground reports below show where it was filed.
Convective day · Feb 19, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The 3rd most severe storm Flat Rock has seen in the last 12 months
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
- Peak hail signal
- 25 /100
- Homes exposed
- 53 /100
- Ground truth
- 100 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Flat Rock saw the hail — from two instruments
We map this storm two ways: the NEXRAD radar signatures the storm produced overhead, and the radar-estimated size of the hail in the air. The two surfaces don’t have to match — where they diverge is where estimated size aloft ran ahead of, or behind, what the signatures caught.
Estimated size field Maximum hail size as estimated from radar aloft. Treat it as the storm's ceiling — the largest supportable stone — rather than a ground measurement.
Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Feb 19, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Flat Rock, so there is one map to show, not two.
The storm in context
Where Feb 19, 2026 sits in Flat Rock's hail record.
This was Flat Rock's 1st recorded hail day — the first hail day in our records for the city. By severity it ranks 3rd of the 9 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Flat Rock at 1" — radar-estimated size aloft.
The Feb 19, 2026 convective day was bigger than Flat Rock: the same system put hail over 64 other tracked cities, 31 of them in Illinois. Nearest: Carlisle (9 miles northeast, up to 1.25"); Robinson (13 miles northwest, up to 0.75"); Oblong (16 miles west, up to 1.5").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 9 Flat Rock storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
Tornado reports
3 reports“Tornado report relayed by Lawrence county emergency manager. (ILX)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
“House destroyed with occupants trapped. (ILX)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Hail reports
2 reports“Social media report. Copious amounts of hail. (ILX)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
“(ILX)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Storm forensics
How the storm moved
Read from the arrival times and locations of the NOAA ground reports, not a radar-measured storm track.
Reports came from Robinson, Hardinville, and New Hebron — beyond Flat Rock itself.
Damage-capable hail signal
What 1" hail means for Flat Rock roofs.
Quarter-size and larger hail can bruise asphalt mats, remove granules, and dent exposed soft metal. The mapped footprint identifies an inspection priority area — it does not identify which individual roofs, if any, sustained damage.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
Potential roof exposure
$5.2M
Potential roof exposure — 430 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 2 jobs
- Illustrative work
- ~$30K
Close just 0.5% of the 430 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
February 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around February 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $90 on top of the $150 plan.
Flat Rock hail history
Other storms in Flat Rock.
Estimated-size surface Aug 12, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Jul 27, 2026
1.75"
Estimated-size surface Jul 26, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Jun 17, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface May 16, 2026
1.25"
Estimated-size surface Apr 27, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Mar 22, 2026
1.75"
Estimated-size surface Mar 4, 2026
2"The next storm won’t wait for you.
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