Hail in Red Bud · Sep 15, 2026
Convective day · Sep 15, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The 9th most severe storm Red Bud has seen in the last 12 months
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
- Peak hail signal
- 13 /100
- Homes exposed
- 43 /100
- Ground truth
- 0 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Red Bud saw the hail — from two instruments
Each storm gets two readings: the radar signatures NEXRAD recorded as the cells passed overhead, and a modeled estimate of hail size in the air. They are independent surfaces, so a mismatch between them is expected — and worth reading.
Estimated size field Radar-estimated hail size over the swath. The model reports the biggest stone the storm could sustain in the air; what actually fell may have been smaller.
Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Sep 15, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Red Bud, so there is one map to show, not two.
The storm in context
Where Sep 15, 2026 sits in Red Bud's hail record.
This was Red Bud's 11th recorded hail day, arriving 30 days after the Aug 16, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 9th of the 11 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Red Bud at 0.5" — radar-estimated size aloft.
The Sep 15, 2026 convective day was bigger than Red Bud: the same system put hail over 169 other tracked cities, 31 of them in Illinois. Nearest: Eldred (68 miles northwest, up to 0.5"); Hardin (70 miles northwest, up to 0.5"); Springfield (99 miles north, up to 0.5").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 11 Red Bud storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
Nobody on the ground filed a report over Red Bud for this date, which says more about who was watching than about the storm: spotter reports only exist where there is an observer. The radar surfaces above carry the evidence for this one.
Below the severe threshold
What 0.5" hail means for Red Bud roofs.
Radar signals under three-quarters of an inch stay below the National Weather Service severe threshold and generally indicate lower roof risk. Older or already-worn materials can still show effects, but radar alone cannot determine whether a specific roof was damaged.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
Potential roof exposure
$1.7M
Potential roof exposure — 139 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 1 job
- Illustrative work
- ~$15K
Close just 0.5% of the 139 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
September 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around September 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $29 on top of the $150 plan.
Red Bud hail history
Other storms in Red Bud.
Estimated-size surface Aug 16, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Aug 12, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Jul 10, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Jul 9, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Jul 4, 2026
1.25"
Estimated-size surface Jul 3, 2026
2"
Estimated-size surface May 31, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Apr 27, 2026
1"
NEXRAD surface Mar 22, 2026
0.5"
NEXRAD surface Mar 4, 2026
0.75"The next storm won’t wait for you.
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