“Quarter size hail reported throughout downtown Louisville. (LMK)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Hail in Louisville · May 16, 2026
Convective day · May 16, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The most severe storm Louisville has seen in the last 12 months
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
- Peak hail signal
- 44 /100
- Homes exposed
- 96 /100
- Ground truth
- 17 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Louisville saw the hail — from two instruments
The maps here read the same storm from two angles — point detections from NEXRAD, and modeled hail size aloft. Where the two disagree is informative: it marks where estimated size outran the signatures, or trailed them.
Radar signature field Where NEXRAD flagged hail as the storm passed — point signatures from the radar, which indicate hail overhead rather than confirm what landed.
Estimated size field The modeled maximum hail size across the swath, derived from radar aloft — the largest stone the storm could have supported, which is not necessarily what reached the ground.
The storm in context
Where May 16, 2026 sits in Louisville's hail record.
This was Louisville's 4th recorded hail day, arriving 13 days after the May 3, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 1st of the 15 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Louisville at 1.75" — the largest NEXRAD radar signature.
The May 16, 2026 convective day was bigger than Louisville: the same system put hail over 711 other tracked cities, 33 of them in Kentucky. Nearest: La Grange (7 miles north, up to 1.5"); Crestwood (9 miles northwest, up to 1.5"); Smithfield (9 miles northeast, up to 1.5").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 15 Louisville storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
Hail reports
1 reportHigh damage potential
What 1.75" hail means for Louisville roofs.
Hail around an inch and a half is capable of cracking shingles, stripping granules, and denting gutters, vents, and siding. Risk is usually greatest near the strongest radar signal, but property-level damage still requires an on-site inspection.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
Potential roof exposure
$786M
Potential roof exposure — 65,525 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 328 jobs
- Illustrative work
- ~$4.9M
Close just 0.5% of the 65,525 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
May 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around May 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $13,760 on top of the $150 plan.
Louisville hail history
Other storms in Louisville.
Estimated-size surface Sep 18, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Sep 5, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Aug 16, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Aug 11, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Jul 21, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Jul 17, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Jul 8, 2026
1.25"
Estimated-size surface Jul 4, 2026
1"
NEXRAD surface Jun 26, 2026
Estimated-size surface Jun 11, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface May 19, 2026
0.5"
NEXRAD surface May 3, 2026
Estimated-size surface Apr 1, 2026
1.5"
Estimated-size surface Mar 22, 2026
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