/ Storm field report · Shelby

Hail in Louisville · May 16, 2026

NEXRAD logged 57 hail signatures up to 1.75"; the estimated-size surface reached 1" aloft. Open it on the live map to see the swath over the streets.

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Peak hail signal 1.75" ≈ golf ball · the largest NEXRAD radar signature
Homes in the hail footprint 65,525
Ground reports 1 1 hail
Radar surfaces 2 NEXRAD + estimated size

Convective day · May 16, 2026 · noon–noon UTC

Severity

The most severe storm Louisville has seen in the last 12 months

Composite score · 5.3 / 10
Storm severity score

Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.

5.3 /10
Peak hail signal
44 /100

Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.

Homes exposed
96 /100

How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.

Ground truth
17 /100

Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.

Evidence / storm surfaces

How Louisville saw the hail — from two instruments

May 16, 2026 · Louisville, KY

The maps here read the same storm from two angles — point detections from NEXRAD, and modeled hail size aloft. Where the two disagree is informative: it marks where estimated size outran the signatures, or trailed them.

NEXRAD radar signatures Surface resolved
NEXRAD radar-signature map of the hail storm over Louisville, KY on May 16, 2026 Radar signature field

Where NEXRAD flagged hail as the storm passed — point signatures from the radar, which indicate hail overhead rather than confirm what landed.

Max size 1.75" Detections 57
Radar-estimated hail size Surface resolved
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Louisville, KY on May 16, 2026 Estimated size field

The modeled maximum hail size across the swath, derived from radar aloft — the largest stone the storm could have supported, which is not necessarily what reached the ground.

Max size 1"

The storm in context

Where May 16, 2026 sits in Louisville's hail record.

This was Louisville's 4th recorded hail day, arriving 13 days after the May 3, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 1st of the 15 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Louisville at 1.75" — the largest NEXRAD radar signature.

The May 16, 2026 convective day was bigger than Louisville: the same system put hail over 711 other tracked cities, 33 of them in Kentucky. Nearest: La Grange (7 miles north, up to 1.5"); Crestwood (9 miles northwest, up to 1.5"); Smithfield (9 miles northeast, up to 1.5").

These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 15 Louisville storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.

Ground reports

What people on the ground reported

1 report filed with the NWS

These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.

Hail reports

1 report
Hail size 1"
Louisville Jefferson County

“Quarter size hail reported throughout downtown Louisville. (LMK)”

— NOAA / SPC storm report

High damage potential

What 1.75" hail means for Louisville roofs.

Hail around an inch and a half is capable of cracking shingles, stripping granules, and denting gutters, vents, and siding. Risk is usually greatest near the strongest radar signal, but property-level damage still requires an on-site inspection.

Radar reading · not confirmed damage

Roofing exposure

What this storm is worth to a roofer.

65,525 homes × $12,000 avg. claim

Potential roof exposure

$786M

Potential roof exposure — 65,525 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.

Illustrative jobs
328 jobs
Illustrative work
~$4.9M

Close just 0.5% of the 65,525 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.

Claim window

May 2028

Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around May 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.

Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $13,760 on top of the $150 plan.

Louisville hail history

15 recorded storm days in Louisville, KY
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Louisville, KY on Sep 18, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Louisville / KY

Sep 18, 2026

0.75"
Estimated 0.75"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Louisville, KY on Sep 5, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Louisville / KY

Sep 5, 2026

0.5"
Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Louisville, KY on Aug 16, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Louisville / KY

Aug 16, 2026

0.5"
Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Louisville, KY on Aug 11, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Louisville / KY

Aug 11, 2026

0.75"
Estimated 0.75"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Louisville, KY on Jul 21, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Louisville / KY

Jul 21, 2026

1"
Signatures 1" Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Louisville, KY on Jul 17, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Louisville / KY

Jul 17, 2026

0.5"
Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Louisville, KY on Jul 8, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Louisville / KY

Jul 8, 2026

1.25"
Signatures 1.25" Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Louisville, KY on Jul 4, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Louisville / KY

Jul 4, 2026

1"
Signatures 1" Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
NEXRAD radar-signature map of the hail storm over Louisville, KY on Jun 26, 2026 NEXRAD surface
Storm date Louisville / KY

Jun 26, 2026

No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Louisville, KY on Jun 11, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Louisville / KY

Jun 11, 2026

0.5"
Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Louisville, KY on May 19, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Louisville / KY

May 19, 2026

0.5"
Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
NEXRAD radar-signature map of the hail storm over Louisville, KY on May 3, 2026 NEXRAD surface
Storm date Louisville / KY

May 3, 2026

No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Louisville, KY on Apr 1, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Louisville / KY

Apr 1, 2026

1.5"
Signatures 1.5" Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Louisville, KY on Mar 22, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Louisville / KY

Mar 22, 2026

No ground reports filed Open report →

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A storm day here is a convective day — it runs from noon to noon UTC, so late-night hail is grouped with the afternoon storm that spawned it rather than split across two calendar dates. Ground reports are public-domain observations from the NOAA Storm Prediction Center. Radar tells you where to look. Only an inspection confirms damage at an address. Last updated Sep 19, 2026.