“Drone footage and on ground surveys indicate the storm produced a swath of damage to mostly large white pines of approximately 1 to 3 feet in diameter. The survey team (MQT)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Hail in Carney · Jul 20, 2026
The estimated-size surface reached 1.5" aloft; NEXRAD logged no point detections over Carney that day. Open it on the live map to see the swath over the streets.
A tornado was also reported to the National Weather Service during this storm. The ground reports below show where it was filed.
Convective day · Jul 20, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The most severe storm Carney has seen in the last 12 months
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
- Peak hail signal
- 38 /100
- Homes exposed
- 63 /100
- Ground truth
- 33 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Carney saw the hail — from two instruments
Two instruments, one storm: NEXRAD logs the point signatures it detected overhead, while the estimated-size surface models how large the hail aloft could have grown. Agreement between them is not guaranteed — the gaps are where the model ran ahead of, or behind, the detections.
Estimated size field Radar-estimated maximum hail size across the swath, modeled from radar aloft. It reflects the biggest stone the storm could support, which may differ from what actually fell.
Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Jul 20, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Carney, so there is one map to show, not two.
The storm in context
Where Jul 20, 2026 sits in Carney's hail record.
This was Carney's 2nd recorded hail day, arriving 22 days after the Jun 28, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 1st of the 2 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Carney at 1.5" — radar-estimated size aloft.
The Jul 20, 2026 convective day was bigger than Carney: the same system put hail over 553 other tracked cities, 65 of them in Michigan. Nearest: Bark River (7 miles east, up to 1.25"); Spalding (7 miles north, up to 1.5"); Hermansville (10 miles northwest, up to 1.25").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 2 Carney storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
Tornado reports
1 reportStorm forensics
How the storm moved
Read from the arrival times and locations of the NOAA ground reports, not a radar-measured storm track.
Reports came from Gourley — beyond Carney itself.
High damage potential
What 1.5" hail means for Carney roofs.
Hail around an inch and a half is capable of cracking shingles, stripping granules, and denting gutters, vents, and siding. Risk is usually greatest near the strongest radar signal, but property-level damage still requires an on-site inspection.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
Potential roof exposure
$17M
Potential roof exposure — 1,438 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 7 jobs
- Illustrative work
- ~$105K
Close just 0.5% of the 1,438 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
July 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around July 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $302 on top of the $150 plan.
Carney hail history
Other storms in Carney.
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