/ Storm field report · Isabella

Hail in Shepherd · Sep 3, 2026

Hit 9 days ago

The estimated-size surface reached 0.75" aloft; NEXRAD logged no point detections over Shepherd that day. Open it on the live map to see the swath over the streets.

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Peak hail signal 0.75" ≈ penny to nickel · radar-estimated size aloft
Homes in the hail footprint 2,265
Ground reports 0 none filed
Radar surfaces 1 Estimated size only

Convective day · Sep 3, 2026 · noon–noon UTC

Severity

The most severe storm Shepherd has seen in the last 12 months

Composite score · 2.8 / 10
Storm severity score

Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.

2.8 /10
Peak hail signal
19 /100

Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.

Homes exposed
67 /100

How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.

Ground truth
0 /100

Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.

Evidence / storm surfaces

How Shepherd saw the hail — from two instruments

Sep 3, 2026 · Shepherd, MI

The maps here read the same storm from two angles — point detections from NEXRAD, and modeled hail size aloft. Where the two disagree is informative: it marks where estimated size outran the signatures, or trailed them.

Radar-estimated hail size Surface resolved
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Shepherd, MI on Sep 3, 2026 Estimated size field

The modeled maximum hail size across the swath, derived from radar aloft — the largest stone the storm could have supported, which is not necessarily what reached the ground.

Max size 0.75"

Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Sep 3, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Shepherd, so there is one map to show, not two.

The storm in context

Where Sep 3, 2026 sits in Shepherd's hail record.

This was Shepherd's 3rd recorded hail day, arriving 79 days after the Jun 16, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 1st of the 3 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Shepherd at 0.75" — radar-estimated size aloft.

The Sep 3, 2026 convective day was bigger than Shepherd: the same system put hail over 494 other tracked cities, 67 of them in Michigan. Nearest: Mount Pleasant (7 miles north, up to 0.75"); Alma (7 miles south, up to 0.5"); Saint Louis (11 miles east, up to 0.75").

These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 3 Shepherd storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.

Ground reports

What people on the ground reported

No reports filed with the NWS

These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.

Nobody on the ground filed a report over Shepherd for this date, which says more about who was watching than about the storm: spotter reports only exist where there is an observer. The radar surfaces above carry the evidence for this one.

Near the severe threshold

What 0.75" hail means for Shepherd roofs.

A signal this size sits near the National Weather Service severe threshold. Aging shingles and soft metals such as vents, flashing, and gutters may be more vulnerable; roof age, wind, and material condition all matter, and only an inspection can confirm damage.

Radar reading · not confirmed damage

Roofing exposure

What this storm is worth to a roofer.

2,265 homes × $12,000 avg. claim

Potential roof exposure

$27M

Potential roof exposure — 2,265 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.

Illustrative jobs
11 jobs
Illustrative work
~$165K

Close just 0.5% of the 2,265 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.

Claim window

September 2028

Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around September 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.

Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $476 on top of the $150 plan.

Shepherd hail history

3 recorded storm days in Shepherd, MI

Take your next area into the field.

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A storm day here is a convective day — it runs from noon to noon UTC, so late-night hail is grouped with the afternoon storm that spawned it rather than split across two calendar dates. Ground reports are public-domain observations from the NOAA Storm Prediction Center. Radar tells you where to look. Only an inspection confirms damage at an address. Last updated Sep 4, 2026.