Hail in Kiln · May 15, 2026
Convective day · May 15, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The 4th most severe storm Kiln has seen in the last 12 months
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
- Peak hail signal
- 19 /100
- Homes exposed
- 56 /100
- Ground truth
- 0 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Kiln saw the hail — from two instruments
Two instruments, one storm: NEXRAD logs the point signatures it detected overhead, while the estimated-size surface models how large the hail aloft could have grown. Agreement between them is not guaranteed — the gaps are where the model ran ahead of, or behind, the detections.
Estimated size field Radar-estimated maximum hail size across the swath, modeled from radar aloft. It reflects the biggest stone the storm could support, which may differ from what actually fell.
Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for May 15, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Kiln, so there is one map to show, not two.
The storm in context
Where May 15, 2026 sits in Kiln's hail record.
This was Kiln's 5th recorded hail day, arriving 6 days after the May 9, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 4th of the 9 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Kiln at 0.75" — radar-estimated size aloft.
The May 15, 2026 convective day was bigger than Kiln: the same system put hail over 444 other tracked cities. Nearest: Mena (407 miles northwest, up to 1"); Magazine (419 miles northwest, up to 0.5"); Arcadia (503 miles southeast, up to 0").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 9 Kiln storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
No ground reports were filed with the National Weather Service for this storm over Kiln. That is common: a report depends on someone being there to see it and take the time to call it in. The radar surfaces above are the record here — the storm was detected from above even though no one on the ground logged it.
Near the severe threshold
What 0.75" hail means for Kiln roofs.
A signal this size sits near the National Weather Service severe threshold. Aging shingles and soft metals such as vents, flashing, and gutters may be more vulnerable; roof age, wind, and material condition all matter, and only an inspection can confirm damage.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
Potential roof exposure
$7.8M
Potential roof exposure — 650 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 3 jobs
- Illustrative work
- ~$45K
Close just 0.5% of the 650 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
May 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around May 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $137 on top of the $150 plan.
Estimated-size surface Sep 7, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Aug 18, 2026
0.5"
NEXRAD surface Jul 9, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Jun 2, 2026
1.25"
Estimated-size surface May 9, 2026
1.75"
Estimated-size surface Apr 26, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Apr 14, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Apr 1, 2026
0.75"The next storm won’t wait for you.
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