Hail in Forsyth · Jul 16, 2026
Convective day · Jul 16, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The 2nd most severe storm Forsyth has seen in the last 12 months
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
- Peak hail signal
- 44 /100
- Homes exposed
- 39 /100
- Ground truth
- 0 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Forsyth saw the hail — from two instruments
The maps here read the same storm from two angles — point detections from NEXRAD, and modeled hail size aloft. Where the two disagree is informative: it marks where estimated size outran the signatures, or trailed them.
Estimated size field The modeled maximum hail size across the swath, derived from radar aloft — the largest stone the storm could have supported, which is not necessarily what reached the ground.
Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Jul 16, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Forsyth, so there is one map to show, not two.
The storm in context
Where Jul 16, 2026 sits in Forsyth's hail record.
This was Forsyth's 7th recorded hail day, arriving 8 days after the Jul 8, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 2nd of the 7 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Forsyth at 1.75" — radar-estimated size aloft.
The Jul 16, 2026 convective day was bigger than Forsyth: the same system put hail over 206 other tracked cities, 40 of them in Montana. Nearest: Colstrip (14 miles south, up to 1.75"); Hysham (33 miles west, up to 0.75"); Lodge Grass (63 miles southwest, up to 0.75").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 7 Forsyth storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
The National Weather Service logged no spotter reports for this storm over Forsyth. That absence is ordinary — filing a report takes a person on the spot who saw the hail and phoned it in. What stands as the record for this date is the radar above, which caught the storm regardless.
High damage potential
What 1.75" hail means for Forsyth roofs.
Hail around an inch and a half is capable of cracking shingles, stripping granules, and denting gutters, vents, and siding. Risk is usually greatest near the strongest radar signal, but property-level damage still requires an on-site inspection.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
Potential roof exposure
$1.1M
Potential roof exposure — 89 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
Claim window
July 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around July 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $19 on top of the $150 plan.
Forsyth hail history
Other storms in Forsyth.
Estimated-size surface Jul 8, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Jul 3, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Jul 2, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Jun 27, 2026
1.25"
Estimated-size surface Jun 6, 2026
1.75"
Estimated-size surface Jun 1, 2026
1.25"The next storm won’t wait for you.
Set your territory and alerts today. When hail hits, use Overview to choose your streets and get moving.
Web trial: 7 days free. Card required. $150/month after the trial unless cancelled.