/ Storm field report · Yellowstone

Hail in Shepherd · Sep 6, 2026

Hit 6 days ago

The estimated-size surface reached 2.25" aloft; NEXRAD logged no point detections over Shepherd that day. At 2.25" — tennis ball — this is a severe hail signal associated with roof damage. Open it on the live map to see the swath over the streets.

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Peak hail signal 2.25" ≈ tennis ball · radar-estimated size aloft
Homes in the hail footprint 2,994
Ground reports 1 1 hail
Radar surfaces 1 Estimated size only

Convective day · Sep 6, 2026 · noon–noon UTC

Severity

The most severe storm Shepherd has seen in the last 12 months

Composite score · 5.4 / 10
Storm severity score

Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.

5.4 /10
Peak hail signal
56 /100

Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.

Homes exposed
70 /100

How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.

Ground truth
17 /100

Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.

Evidence / storm surfaces

How Shepherd saw the hail — from two instruments

Sep 6, 2026 · Shepherd, MT

We map this storm two ways: the NEXRAD radar signatures the storm produced overhead, and the radar-estimated size of the hail in the air. The two surfaces don’t have to match — where they diverge is where estimated size aloft ran ahead of, or behind, what the signatures caught.

Radar-estimated hail size Surface resolved
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Shepherd, MT on Sep 6, 2026 Estimated size field

Maximum hail size as estimated from radar aloft. Treat it as the storm's ceiling — the largest supportable stone — rather than a ground measurement.

Max size 2.25"

Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Sep 6, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Shepherd, so there is one map to show, not two.

The storm in context

Where Sep 6, 2026 sits in Shepherd's hail record.

This was Shepherd's 5th recorded hail day, arriving 52 days after the Jul 16, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 1st of the 5 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Shepherd at 2.25" — radar-estimated size aloft.

The Sep 6, 2026 convective day was bigger than Shepherd: the same system put hail over 608 other tracked cities, 49 of them in Montana. Nearest: Huntley (15 miles south, up to 2.25"); Worden (15 miles east, up to 1.25"); Broadview (17 miles west, up to 0.5").

These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 5 Shepherd storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.

Ground reports

What people on the ground reported

1 report filed with the NWS

These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.

Hail reports

1 report
Hail size 2"
Shepherd Yellowstone County

“Numerous public reports of hail around 2 inch in diameter. Windows broken out. (BYZ)”

— NOAA / SPC storm report

Severe hail signal

What 2.25" hail means for Shepherd roofs.

Two-inch-plus hail is capable of puncturing shingles, breaking skylights or windows, and heavily denting soft materials. The strongest radar bands warrant prompt inspection, but neither the signal nor the footprint confirms damage at a specific address.

Radar reading · not confirmed damage

Roofing exposure

What this storm is worth to a roofer.

2,994 homes × $12,000 avg. claim

Potential roof exposure

$36M

Potential roof exposure — 2,994 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.

Illustrative jobs
15 jobs
Illustrative work
~$225K

Close just 0.5% of the 2,994 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.

Claim window

September 2028

Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around September 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.

Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $629 on top of the $150 plan.

Shepherd hail history

5 recorded storm days in Shepherd, MT

Take your next area into the field.

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A storm day here is a convective day — it runs from noon to noon UTC, so late-night hail is grouped with the afternoon storm that spawned it rather than split across two calendar dates. Ground reports are public-domain observations from the NOAA Storm Prediction Center. Radar tells you where to look. Only an inspection confirms damage at an address. Last updated Sep 7, 2026.