Hail in Ellsworth · Sep 27, 2026
Convective day · Sep 27, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The 4th most severe storm Ellsworth has seen in the last 12 months
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
- Peak hail signal
- 31 /100
- Homes exposed
- 34 /100
- Ground truth
- 0 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Ellsworth saw the hail — from two instruments
The maps here read the same storm from two angles — point detections from NEXRAD, and modeled hail size aloft. Where the two disagree is informative: it marks where estimated size outran the signatures, or trailed them.
Estimated size field The modeled maximum hail size across the swath, derived from radar aloft — the largest stone the storm could have supported, which is not necessarily what reached the ground.
Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Sep 27, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Ellsworth, so there is one map to show, not two.
The storm in context
Where Sep 27, 2026 sits in Ellsworth's hail record.
This was Ellsworth's 5th recorded hail day, arriving 86 days after the Jul 3, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 4th of the 5 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Ellsworth at 1.25" — radar-estimated size aloft.
The Sep 27, 2026 convective day was bigger than Ellsworth: the same system put hail over 43 other tracked cities. Nearest: Midland (164 miles north, up to 1.5"); Pierre (182 miles northeast, up to 1.5"); Eagle Butte (194 miles north, up to 1.25").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 5 Ellsworth storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
No ground reports were filed with the National Weather Service for this storm over Ellsworth. That is common: a report depends on someone being there to see it and take the time to call it in. The radar surfaces above are the record here — the storm was detected from above even though no one on the ground logged it.
Damage-capable hail signal
What 1.25" hail means for Ellsworth roofs.
Quarter-size and larger hail can bruise asphalt mats, remove granules, and dent exposed soft metal. The mapped footprint identifies an inspection priority area — it does not identify which individual roofs, if any, sustained damage.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
Potential roof exposure
$600K
Potential roof exposure — 50 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
Claim window
September 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around September 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $11 on top of the $150 plan.
Ellsworth hail history
Other storms in Ellsworth.
Estimated-size surface Jul 3, 2026
2.5"
Estimated-size surface Jun 27, 2026
1.75"
Estimated-size surface Jun 22, 2026
3.25"
Estimated-size surface Jun 21, 2026
0.5"The next storm won’t wait for you.
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