/ Storm field report · Keith

Hail in Paxton · Aug 27, 2026

Hit 16 days ago

The estimated-size surface reached 2.5" aloft; NEXRAD logged no point detections over Paxton that day. At 2.5" — baseball — this is a severe hail signal associated with roof damage. Open it on the live map to see the swath over the streets.

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Peak hail signal 2.5" ≈ baseball · radar-estimated size aloft
Homes in the hail footprint 878
Ground reports 0 none filed
Radar surfaces 1 Estimated size only

Convective day · Aug 27, 2026 · noon–noon UTC

Severity

The most severe storm Paxton has seen in the last 12 months

Composite score · 5.2 / 10
Storm severity score

Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.

5.2 /10
Peak hail signal
63 /100

Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.

Homes exposed
59 /100

How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.

Ground truth
0 /100

Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.

Evidence / storm surfaces

How Paxton saw the hail — from two instruments

Aug 27, 2026 · Paxton, NE

Each storm gets two readings: the radar signatures NEXRAD recorded as the cells passed overhead, and a modeled estimate of hail size in the air. They are independent surfaces, so a mismatch between them is expected — and worth reading.

Radar-estimated hail size Surface resolved
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Paxton, NE on Aug 27, 2026 Estimated size field

Radar-estimated hail size over the swath. The model reports the biggest stone the storm could sustain in the air; what actually fell may have been smaller.

Max size 2.5"

Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Aug 27, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Paxton, so there is one map to show, not two.

The storm in context

Where Aug 27, 2026 sits in Paxton's hail record.

This was Paxton's 12th recorded hail day, arriving 10 days after the Aug 17, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 1st of the 13 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Paxton at 2.5" — radar-estimated size aloft.

The Aug 27, 2026 convective day was bigger than Paxton: the same system put hail over 365 other tracked cities, 41 of them in Nebraska. Nearest: Keystone (12 miles northwest, up to 1.25"); Sutherland (13 miles east, up to 0.5"); Ogallala (16 miles west, up to 2").

These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 13 Paxton storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.

Ground reports

What people on the ground reported

No reports filed with the NWS

These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.

For this storm over Paxton, the NWS report log is empty — a common outcome, since ground reports only happen when someone witnesses the hail and takes the time to call it in. The detection record for the date lives in the radar maps above.

Severe hail signal

What 2.5" hail means for Paxton roofs.

Two-inch-plus hail is capable of puncturing shingles, breaking skylights or windows, and heavily denting soft materials. The strongest radar bands warrant prompt inspection, but neither the signal nor the footprint confirms damage at a specific address.

Radar reading · not confirmed damage

Roofing exposure

What this storm is worth to a roofer.

878 homes × $12,000 avg. claim

Potential roof exposure

$11M

Potential roof exposure — 878 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.

Illustrative jobs
4 jobs
Illustrative work
~$60K

Close just 0.5% of the 878 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.

Claim window

August 2028

Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around August 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.

Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $184 on top of the $150 plan.

Paxton hail history

13 recorded storm days in Paxton, NE
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Paxton, NE on Aug 28, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Paxton / NE

Aug 28, 2026

0.5"
Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Paxton, NE on Aug 17, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Paxton / NE

Aug 17, 2026

0.75"
Estimated 0.75"
2 ground reports Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Paxton, NE on Aug 15, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Paxton / NE

Aug 15, 2026

1.5"
Estimated 1.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Paxton, NE on Jul 30, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Paxton / NE

Jul 30, 2026

0.5"
Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Paxton, NE on Jul 29, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Paxton / NE

Jul 29, 2026

0.5"
Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Paxton, NE on Jul 4, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Paxton / NE

Jul 4, 2026

1.75"
Signatures 1.75" Estimated 1.25"
3 ground reports Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Paxton, NE on Jun 21, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Paxton / NE

Jun 21, 2026

1.25"
Estimated 1.25"
2 ground reports Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Paxton, NE on Jun 8, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Paxton / NE

Jun 8, 2026

0.75"
Estimated 0.75"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Paxton, NE on May 30, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Paxton / NE

May 30, 2026

1.5"
Signatures 1.5" Estimated 0.75"
1 ground report Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Paxton, NE on May 25, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Paxton / NE

May 25, 2026

1"
Signatures 1" Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Paxton, NE on May 23, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Paxton / NE

May 23, 2026

0.5"
Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Paxton, NE on May 16, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Paxton / NE

May 16, 2026

1"
Signatures 1" Estimated 0.75"
No ground reports filed Open report →

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A storm day here is a convective day — it runs from noon to noon UTC, so late-night hail is grouped with the afternoon storm that spawned it rather than split across two calendar dates. Ground reports are public-domain observations from the NOAA Storm Prediction Center. Radar tells you where to look. Only an inspection confirms damage at an address. Last updated Aug 29, 2026.