Hail size 1.5"
2 E Warren Grove Ocean County
“Delayed report. Reported at the Pinewood Estates neighborhood via photo from social media. Time estimated from radar. (PHI)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
/ Storm field report · Ocean
Hail in Manahawkin · Jul 16, 2026
The estimated-size surface reached 1.75" aloft; NEXRAD logged no point detections over Manahawkin that day. Open it on the live map to see the swath over the streets.
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Peak hail signal 1.75" ≈ golf ball · radar-estimated size aloft
Homes in the hail footprint 27,869
Ground reports 14 5 hail · 9 wind
Radar surfaces 1 Estimated size only
Convective day · Jul 16, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The most severe storm Manahawkin has seen in the last 12 months
Composite score · 6.3 / 10
Storm severity score
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
6.3 /10
- Peak hail signal
- 44 /100
- Homes exposed
- 89 /100
- Ground truth
- 100 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Manahawkin saw the hail — from two instruments
Jul 16, 2026 · Manahawkin, NJ
Each storm gets two readings: the radar signatures NEXRAD recorded as the cells passed overhead, and a modeled estimate of hail size in the air. They are independent surfaces, so a mismatch between them is expected — and worth reading.
Radar-estimated hail size Surface resolved
Estimated size field Radar-estimated hail size over the swath. The model reports the biggest stone the storm could sustain in the air; what actually fell may have been smaller.
Max size
1.75"
Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Jul 16, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Manahawkin, so there is one map to show, not two.
The storm in context
Where Jul 16, 2026 sits in Manahawkin's hail record.
This was Manahawkin's 2nd recorded hail day, arriving 34 days after the Jun 12, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 1st of the 3 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Manahawkin at 1.75" — radar-estimated size aloft.
The Jul 16, 2026 convective day was bigger than Manahawkin: the same system put hail over 206 other tracked cities, 14 of them in New Jersey. Nearest: West Creek (6 miles southwest, up to 1.25"); Tuckerton (9 miles southwest, up to 1.25"); Surf City (9 miles southeast, up to 1.75").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 3 Manahawkin storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
14 reports filed with the NWS
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
Hail reports
5 reports Hail size 1"
Manahawkin Ocean County
“Report from mPING: Quarter (1.00 in.). (PHI)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Hail size 1"
1 SE Stafford Twp. Ocean County
“Report from mPING: Quarter (1.00 in.). (PHI)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Hail size 1"
1 WNW Manahawkin Ocean County
“Measured 1 inch hail. (PHI)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Hail size 1"
Surf City Ocean County
“Quarter sized hail reported by CoCoRaHS station NJ-OC-113 in Surf City. Time included in report. Hail began at 7:06 PM and continued until 7:15 PM. (PHI)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Wind reports
9 reports Wind gust 84 mph
Surf City Ocean County
“Personal Weather Station: SCYC - Surf City Yacht Club - KNJSURFC12 gusted to 84 mph at 650pm. (PHI)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Wind gust 64 mph
Surf City Ocean County
“Personal Weather Station: SCYC - Surf City Yacht Club - KNJSURFC12. (PHI)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Wind gust 76 mph
1 SSE Bay Side ANZ451 County
“WeatherFlow - LBI Island Surf - XLBI gusted to 76 mph at 609pm. (PHI)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Wind gust 77 mph
Ship Bottom Ocean County
“Personal Weather Station: Terrace View - KNJSHIPB12 gusted to 76.5 mph at 649pm. (PHI)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Wind gust 65 mph
Ship Bottom Ocean County
“Personal Weather Station: Terrace View - KNJSHIPB12. (PHI)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Wind gust 61 mph
1 SSW Ship Bottom Ocean County
“PWS: Beach House - KNJSHIPB30 gusted to 61.3 mph at 714pm. (PHI)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Wind gust 58 mph
1 SSW Ship Bottom Ocean County
“PWS: 36th Street Brant Beach - KNJBEACH112 gusted to 58 mph at 749pm. (PHI)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Wind gust 73 mph
1 SSW Ship Bottom Ocean County
“PWS: 36th Street Brant Beach - KNJBEACH112. (PHI)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Wind gust 64 mph
1 SSW Ship Bottom Ocean County
“Personal Weather Station: 36th Street Brant Beach - KNJBEACH112. (PHI)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Storm forensics
How the storm moved
Timing and place names from NOAA ground reports
Read from the arrival times and locations of the NOAA ground reports, not a radar-measured storm track.
Hail was reported over 100 minutes, from to .
Reports came from Warren Grove, Stafford Twp., Surf City, Bay Side, and Ship Bottom — beyond Manahawkin itself.
High damage potential
What 1.75" hail means for Manahawkin roofs.
Hail around an inch and a half is capable of cracking shingles, stripping granules, and denting gutters, vents, and siding. Risk is usually greatest near the strongest radar signal, but property-level damage still requires an on-site inspection.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
27,869 homes × $12,000 avg. claim
Potential roof exposure
$334M
Potential roof exposure — 27,869 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 139 jobs
- Illustrative work
- ~$2.1M
Close just 0.5% of the 27,869 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
July 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around July 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $5,852 on top of the $150 plan.
Manahawkin hail history
Other storms in Manahawkin.
3 recorded storm days in Manahawkin, NJ
The next storm won’t wait for you.
Set your territory and alerts today. When hail hits, use Overview to choose your streets and get moving.
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A storm day here is a convective day — it runs from noon to noon
UTC, so late-night hail is grouped with the afternoon storm that
spawned it rather than split across two calendar dates. Ground
reports are public-domain observations from the NOAA Storm
Prediction Center. Radar tells you where to look. Only an inspection confirms damage at an address. Last updated Sep 2, 2026.