Hail in Lake Arthur · Sep 15, 2026
Convective day · Sep 15, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
Lake Arthur's only recorded storm in the last 12 months
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
- Peak hail signal
- 25 /100
- Homes exposed
- 25 /100
- Ground truth
- 0 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Lake Arthur saw the hail — from two instruments
We map this storm two ways: the NEXRAD radar signatures the storm produced overhead, and the radar-estimated size of the hail in the air. The two surfaces don’t have to match — where they diverge is where estimated size aloft ran ahead of, or behind, what the signatures caught.
Maximum hail size as estimated from radar aloft. Treat it as the storm's ceiling — the largest supportable stone — rather than a ground measurement.
Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Sep 15, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Lake Arthur, so there is one map to show, not two.
The storm in context
Where Sep 15, 2026 sits in Lake Arthur's hail record.
This was Lake Arthur's 1st recorded hail day — the first hail day in our records for the city. By severity it ranks 1st of the 1 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Lake Arthur at 1" — radar-estimated size aloft.
The Sep 15, 2026 convective day was bigger than Lake Arthur: the same system put hail over 169 other tracked cities, 8 of them in New Mexico. Nearest: Mayhill (61 miles west, up to 0.5"); Seminole (98 miles east, up to 0.75"); Morton (112 miles northeast, up to 0.5").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 1 Lake Arthur storm date on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
The National Weather Service logged no spotter reports for this storm over Lake Arthur. That absence is ordinary — filing a report takes a person on the spot who saw the hail and phoned it in. What stands as the record for this date is the radar above, which caught the storm regardless.
Damage-capable hail signal
What 1" hail means for Lake Arthur roofs.
Quarter-size and larger hail can bruise asphalt mats, remove granules, and dent exposed soft metal. The mapped footprint identifies an inspection priority area — it does not identify which individual roofs, if any, sustained damage.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
Potential roof exposure
$192K
Potential roof exposure — 16 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
Claim window
September 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around September 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $3 on top of the $150 plan.
Lake Arthur hail history
Lake Arthur's hail record.
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