Hail in Afton · Jul 18, 2026
Convective day · Jul 18, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The 2nd most severe storm Afton has seen in the last 12 months
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
- Peak hail signal
- 25 /100
- Homes exposed
- 71 /100
- Ground truth
- 0 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Afton saw the hail — from two instruments
Two instruments, one storm: NEXRAD logs the point signatures it detected overhead, while the estimated-size surface models how large the hail aloft could have grown. Agreement between them is not guaranteed — the gaps are where the model ran ahead of, or behind, the detections.
Estimated size field Radar-estimated maximum hail size across the swath, modeled from radar aloft. It reflects the biggest stone the storm could support, which may differ from what actually fell.
Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Jul 18, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Afton, so there is one map to show, not two.
The storm in context
Where Jul 18, 2026 sits in Afton's hail record.
This was Afton's 2nd recorded hail day, arriving 109 days after the Mar 31, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 2nd of the 2 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Afton at 1" — radar-estimated size aloft.
The Jul 18, 2026 convective day was bigger than Afton: the same system put hail over 377 other tracked cities, 45 of them in New York. Nearest: Bainbridge (4 miles northeast, up to 0.75"); Harpursville (8 miles southwest, up to 1"); Deposit (12 miles southeast, up to 1").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 2 Afton storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
No ground reports were filed with the National Weather Service for this storm over Afton. That is common: a report depends on someone being there to see it and take the time to call it in. The radar surfaces above are the record here — the storm was detected from above even though no one on the ground logged it.
Damage-capable hail signal
What 1" hail means for Afton roofs.
Quarter-size and larger hail can bruise asphalt mats, remove granules, and dent exposed soft metal. The mapped footprint identifies an inspection priority area — it does not identify which individual roofs, if any, sustained damage.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
Potential roof exposure
$41M
Potential roof exposure — 3,389 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 17 jobs
- Illustrative work
- ~$255K
Close just 0.5% of the 3,389 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
July 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around July 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $712 on top of the $150 plan.
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