“(BUF)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Hail in Freedom · Sep 2, 2026
Convective day · Sep 2, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
Freedom's only recorded storm in the last 12 months
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
- Peak hail signal
- 31 /100
- Homes exposed
- 74 /100
- Ground truth
- 17 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Freedom saw the hail — from two instruments
Each storm gets two readings: the radar signatures NEXRAD recorded as the cells passed overhead, and a modeled estimate of hail size in the air. They are independent surfaces, so a mismatch between them is expected — and worth reading.
Estimated size field Radar-estimated hail size over the swath. The model reports the biggest stone the storm could sustain in the air; what actually fell may have been smaller.
Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Sep 2, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Freedom, so there is one map to show, not two.
The storm in context
Where Sep 2, 2026 sits in Freedom's hail record.
This was Freedom's 1st recorded hail day — the first hail day in our records for the city. By severity it ranks 1st of the 1 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Freedom at 1.25" — radar-estimated size aloft.
The Sep 2, 2026 convective day was bigger than Freedom: the same system put hail over 356 other tracked cities, 81 of them in New York. Nearest: Arcade (7 miles north, up to 1.25"); Rushford (7 miles south, up to 1"); Delevan (8 miles west, up to 1.25").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 1 Freedom storm date on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
Hail reports
1 reportDamage-capable hail signal
What 1.25" hail means for Freedom roofs.
Quarter-size and larger hail can bruise asphalt mats, remove granules, and dent exposed soft metal. The mapped footprint identifies an inspection priority area — it does not identify which individual roofs, if any, sustained damage.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
Potential roof exposure
$59M
Potential roof exposure — 4,905 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 25 jobs
- Illustrative work
- ~$375K
Close just 0.5% of the 4,905 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
September 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around September 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $1,030 on top of the $150 plan.
Freedom hail history
Freedom's hail record.
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