/ Storm field report · Stephens

Hail in Duncan · Sep 27, 2026

Hit 4 days ago

The estimated-size surface reached 0.5" aloft; NEXRAD logged no point detections over Duncan that day. Open it on the live map to see the swath over the streets.

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Peak hail signal 0.5" ≈ pea to penny · radar-estimated size aloft
Homes in the hail footprint 37
Ground reports 0 none filed
Radar surfaces 1 Estimated size only

Convective day · Sep 27, 2026 · noon–noon UTC

Severity

The 13th most severe storm Duncan has seen in the last 12 months

Composite score · 1.5 / 10
Storm severity score

Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.

1.5 /10
Peak hail signal
13 /100

Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.

Homes exposed
32 /100

How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.

Ground truth
0 /100

Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.

Evidence / storm surfaces

How Duncan saw the hail — from two instruments

Sep 27, 2026 · Duncan, OK

The maps here read the same storm from two angles — point detections from NEXRAD, and modeled hail size aloft. Where the two disagree is informative: it marks where estimated size outran the signatures, or trailed them.

Radar-estimated hail size Surface resolved
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Duncan, OK on Sep 27, 2026 Estimated size field

The modeled maximum hail size across the swath, derived from radar aloft — the largest stone the storm could have supported, which is not necessarily what reached the ground.

Max size 0.5"

Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Sep 27, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Duncan, so there is one map to show, not two.

The storm in context

Where Sep 27, 2026 sits in Duncan's hail record.

This was Duncan's 13th recorded hail day, arriving 51 days after the Aug 7, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 13th of the 13 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Duncan at 0.5" — radar-estimated size aloft.

The Sep 27, 2026 convective day was bigger than Duncan: the same system put hail over 43 other tracked cities, 7 of them in Oklahoma. Nearest: Loco (9 miles southeast, up to 0.5"); Lone Grove (31 miles southeast, up to 0.5"); Ringling (35 miles south, up to 0.5").

These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 13 Duncan storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.

Ground reports

What people on the ground reported

No reports filed with the NWS

These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.

No ground reports were filed with the National Weather Service for this storm over Duncan. That is common: a report depends on someone being there to see it and take the time to call it in. The radar surfaces above are the record here — the storm was detected from above even though no one on the ground logged it.

Below the severe threshold

What 0.5" hail means for Duncan roofs.

Radar signals under three-quarters of an inch stay below the National Weather Service severe threshold and generally indicate lower roof risk. Older or already-worn materials can still show effects, but radar alone cannot determine whether a specific roof was damaged.

Radar reading · not confirmed damage

Roofing exposure

What this storm is worth to a roofer.

37 homes × $12,000 avg. claim

Potential roof exposure

$444K

Potential roof exposure — 37 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.

Claim window

September 2028

Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around September 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.

Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $8 on top of the $150 plan.

Duncan hail history

13 recorded storm days in Duncan, OK
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Duncan, OK on Aug 7, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Duncan / OK

Aug 7, 2026

0.5"
Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Duncan, OK on Jul 5, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Duncan / OK

Jul 5, 2026

1.75"
Signatures 1.75" Estimated 1.25"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Duncan, OK on Jul 4, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Duncan / OK

Jul 4, 2026

1"
Signatures 1" Estimated 0.75"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Duncan, OK on Jun 21, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Duncan / OK

Jun 21, 2026

1"
Estimated 1"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Duncan, OK on Jun 18, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Duncan / OK

Jun 18, 2026

0.5"
Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Duncan, OK on May 9, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Duncan / OK

May 9, 2026

3.25"
Signatures 3.25" Estimated 1.25"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Duncan, OK on May 8, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Duncan / OK

May 8, 2026

4"
Signatures 4" Estimated 2.5"
2 ground reports Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Duncan, OK on Apr 28, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Duncan / OK

Apr 28, 2026

1"
Signatures 1" Estimated 0.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Duncan, OK on Apr 25, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Duncan / OK

Apr 25, 2026

1.5"
Signatures 1.5" Estimated 0.75"
2 ground reports Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Duncan, OK on Apr 14, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Duncan / OK

Apr 14, 2026

1.25"
Estimated 1.25"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Duncan, OK on Mar 10, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Duncan / OK

Mar 10, 2026

2"
Estimated 2"
1 ground report Open report →
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Duncan, OK on Mar 6, 2026 Estimated-size surface
Storm date Duncan / OK

Mar 6, 2026

1.75"
Signatures 1.75" Estimated 0.75"
No ground reports filed Open report →

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A storm day here is a convective day — it runs from noon to noon UTC, so late-night hail is grouped with the afternoon storm that spawned it rather than split across two calendar dates. Ground reports are public-domain observations from the NOAA Storm Prediction Center. Radar tells you where to look. Only an inspection confirms damage at an address. Last updated Sep 28, 2026.