Hail in Lawrenceburg · May 31, 2026
Convective day · May 31, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The 11th most severe storm Lawrenceburg has seen in the last 12 months
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
- Peak hail signal
- 19 /100
- Homes exposed
- 43 /100
- Ground truth
- 0 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Lawrenceburg saw the hail — from two instruments
The maps here read the same storm from two angles — point detections from NEXRAD, and modeled hail size aloft. Where the two disagree is informative: it marks where estimated size outran the signatures, or trailed them.
Radar signature field Where NEXRAD flagged hail as the storm passed — point signatures from the radar, which indicate hail overhead rather than confirm what landed.
Estimated size field The modeled maximum hail size across the swath, derived from radar aloft — the largest stone the storm could have supported, which is not necessarily what reached the ground.
The storm in context
Where May 31, 2026 sits in Lawrenceburg's hail record.
This was Lawrenceburg's 6th recorded hail day, arriving 26 days after the May 5, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 11th of the 20 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Lawrenceburg at 0.75" — the largest NEXRAD radar signature.
The May 31, 2026 convective day was bigger than Lawrenceburg: the same system put hail over 637 other tracked cities, 26 of them in Tennessee. Nearest: Ethridge (9 miles northeast, up to 0.75"); Minor Hill (16 miles southeast, up to 1"); Collinwood (34 miles west, up to 1").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 20 Lawrenceburg storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
The National Weather Service logged no spotter reports for this storm over Lawrenceburg. That absence is ordinary — filing a report takes a person on the spot who saw the hail and phoned it in. What stands as the record for this date is the radar above, which caught the storm regardless.
Near the severe threshold
What 0.75" hail means for Lawrenceburg roofs.
A signal this size sits near the National Weather Service severe threshold. Aging shingles and soft metals such as vents, flashing, and gutters may be more vulnerable; roof age, wind, and material condition all matter, and only an inspection can confirm damage.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
Potential roof exposure
$1.6M
Potential roof exposure — 137 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 1 job
- Illustrative work
- ~$15K
Close just 0.5% of the 137 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
May 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around May 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $29 on top of the $150 plan.
Lawrenceburg hail history
Other storms in Lawrenceburg.
Estimated-size surface Sep 5, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Aug 26, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Aug 20, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Aug 17, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Aug 7, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Jul 26, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Jul 18, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Jul 11, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Jul 9, 2026
1.25"
Estimated-size surface Jul 7, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Jul 5, 2026
1.25"
Estimated-size surface Jul 3, 2026
1.5"
Estimated-size surface Jul 2, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Jul 1, 2026
1.25"
NEXRAD surface May 5, 2026
Estimated-size surface Apr 27, 2026
1.75"
Estimated-size surface Apr 25, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Mar 15, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Mar 11, 2026
0.75"The next storm won’t wait for you.
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