/ Storm field report · Jones

Hail in Abilene · Mar 10, 2026

The estimated-size surface reached 2.25" aloft; NEXRAD logged no point detections over Abilene that day. At 2.25" — tennis ball — this is a severe hail signal associated with roof damage. Open it on the live map to see the swath over the streets.

A tornado was also reported to the National Weather Service during this storm. The ground reports below show where it was filed.

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Peak hail signal 2.25" ≈ tennis ball · radar-estimated size aloft
Homes in the hail footprint 28,416
Ground reports 7 6 hail · 1 tornado
Radar surfaces 1 Estimated size only

Convective day · Mar 10, 2026 · noon–noon UTC

Severity

The most severe storm Abilene has seen in the last 12 months

Composite score · 7.1 / 10
Storm severity score

Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.

7.1 /10
Peak hail signal
56 /100

Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.

Homes exposed
89 /100

How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.

Ground truth
100 /100

Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.

Evidence / storm surfaces

How Abilene saw the hail — from two instruments

Mar 10, 2026 · Abilene, TX

Each storm gets two readings: the radar signatures NEXRAD recorded as the cells passed overhead, and a modeled estimate of hail size in the air. They are independent surfaces, so a mismatch between them is expected — and worth reading.

Radar-estimated hail size Surface resolved
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Abilene, TX on Mar 10, 2026 Estimated size field

Radar-estimated hail size over the swath. The model reports the biggest stone the storm could sustain in the air; what actually fell may have been smaller.

Max size 2.25"

Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Mar 10, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Abilene, so there is one map to show, not two.

The storm in context

Where Mar 10, 2026 sits in Abilene's hail record.

This was Abilene's 2nd recorded hail day, arriving 4 days after the Mar 6, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 1st of the 10 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Abilene at 2.25" — radar-estimated size aloft.

The Mar 10, 2026 convective day was bigger than Abilene: the same system put hail over 470 other tracked cities, 88 of them in Texas. Nearest: Hawley (14 miles northwest, up to 1"); Merkel (18 miles west, up to 1"); Clyde (19 miles southeast, up to 2.25").

These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 10 Abilene storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.

Ground reports

What people on the ground reported

7 reports filed with the NWS

These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.

Tornado reports

1 report
Tornado Rating unknown
Potosi Taylor County

“Brief touchdown near Potosi. (SJT)”

— NOAA / SPC storm report

Hail reports

6 reports
Hail size 1"
2 NNE Abilene Taylor County

“1 inch hail reported via social media with images. (SJT)”

— NOAA / SPC storm report
Hail size 1.25"
Potosi Taylor County

“Half dollar size hail reported via social media over Potosi. (SJT)”

— NOAA / SPC storm report
Hail size 1.5"
Buffalo Gap Taylor County

“Social Media report of Ping Pong size hail over Buffalo Gap. (SJT)”

— NOAA / SPC storm report
Hail size 2.75"
Buffalo Gap Taylor County

“Media reported baseball size hail over Buffalo Gap. (SJT)”

— NOAA / SPC storm report
Hail size 1"
1 S Buffalo Gap Taylor County

“1 inch hail reported with around 50 mph winds by trained spotter out of Buffalo Gap. (SJT)”

— NOAA / SPC storm report
Hail size 1.75"
1 S Buffalo Gap Taylor County

“Golf Ball size hail reported. (SJT)”

— NOAA / SPC storm report

Storm forensics

How the storm moved

Timing and place names from NOAA ground reports

Read from the arrival times and locations of the NOAA ground reports, not a radar-measured storm track.

Hail was reported over 23 minutes, from to .

Reports came from Potosi and Buffalo Gap — beyond Abilene itself.

Severe hail signal

What 2.25" hail means for Abilene roofs.

Two-inch-plus hail is capable of puncturing shingles, breaking skylights or windows, and heavily denting soft materials. The strongest radar bands warrant prompt inspection, but neither the signal nor the footprint confirms damage at a specific address.

Radar reading · not confirmed damage

Roofing exposure

What this storm is worth to a roofer.

28,416 homes × $12,000 avg. claim

Potential roof exposure

$341M

Potential roof exposure — 28,416 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.

Illustrative jobs
142 jobs
Illustrative work
~$2.1M

Close just 0.5% of the 28,416 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.

Claim window

March 2028

Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around March 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.

Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $5,967 on top of the $150 plan.

Abilene hail history

10 recorded storm days in Abilene, TX

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A storm day here is a convective day — it runs from noon to noon UTC, so late-night hail is grouped with the afternoon storm that spawned it rather than split across two calendar dates. Ground reports are public-domain observations from the NOAA Storm Prediction Center. Radar tells you where to look. Only an inspection confirms damage at an address. Last updated Aug 3, 2026.