“Amateur radio relayed a Fire department report of golf ball sized hail near the Young County line to the south of Southbend. (FWD)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Hail in Breckenridge · Mar 10, 2026
The estimated-size surface reached 2" aloft; NEXRAD logged no point detections over Breckenridge that day. At 2" — tennis ball — this is a severe hail signal associated with roof damage. Open it on the live map to see the swath over the streets.
Convective day · Mar 10, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The 3rd most severe storm Breckenridge has seen in the last 12 months
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
- Peak hail signal
- 50 /100
- Homes exposed
- 74 /100
- Ground truth
- 100 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Breckenridge saw the hail — from two instruments
We map this storm two ways: the NEXRAD radar signatures the storm produced overhead, and the radar-estimated size of the hail in the air. The two surfaces don’t have to match — where they diverge is where estimated size aloft ran ahead of, or behind, what the signatures caught.
Estimated size field Maximum hail size as estimated from radar aloft. Treat it as the storm's ceiling — the largest supportable stone — rather than a ground measurement.
Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Mar 10, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Breckenridge, so there is one map to show, not two.
The storm in context
Where Mar 10, 2026 sits in Breckenridge's hail record.
This was Breckenridge's 2nd recorded hail day, arriving 4 days after the Mar 6, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 3rd of the 13 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Breckenridge at 2" — radar-estimated size aloft.
The Mar 10, 2026 convective day was bigger than Breckenridge: the same system put hail over 470 other tracked cities, 88 of them in Texas. Nearest: Graham (10 miles north, up to 1"); Caddo (12 miles east, up to 2"); Palo Pinto (26 miles east, up to 2.25").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 13 Breckenridge storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
Hail reports
7 reports“Report from mPING: Quarter (1.00 in.). (FWD)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
“Amateur radio relayed report of tennis ball sized hail in Breckenridge. (FWD)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
“Emergency manager relayed photos of baseball sized hail in Necessity. (FWD)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
“Delayed report. Storm spotter reported 2 inch hail east of Breckenridge. (FWD)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
“Report from mPING: Baseball (2.75 in.). (FWD)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
“Delayed report. Storm spotter reported tennis ball sized hail 9 miles south of Breckenridge. (FWD)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Storm forensics
How the storm moved
Read from the arrival times and locations of the NOAA ground reports, not a radar-measured storm track.
The storm tracked northeast at roughly 30 mph, based on the timing of ground reports.
Hail was reported over 38 minutes, from to .
Reports came from Graham and Strawn — beyond Breckenridge itself.
Severe hail signal
What 2" hail means for Breckenridge roofs.
Two-inch-plus hail is capable of puncturing shingles, breaking skylights or windows, and heavily denting soft materials. The strongest radar bands warrant prompt inspection, but neither the signal nor the footprint confirms damage at a specific address.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
Potential roof exposure
$61M
Potential roof exposure — 5,087 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 25 jobs
- Illustrative work
- ~$375K
Close just 0.5% of the 5,087 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
March 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around March 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $1,068 on top of the $150 plan.
Breckenridge hail history
Other storms in Breckenridge.
Estimated-size surface Jul 5, 2026
2.75"
Estimated-size surface Jun 6, 2026
1.25"
Estimated-size surface Jun 2, 2026
2.5"
Estimated-size surface May 28, 2026
1.25"
Estimated-size surface May 23, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface May 10, 2026
4"
Estimated-size surface Apr 28, 2026
1.75"
Estimated-size surface Apr 17, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Apr 15, 2026
3"
Estimated-size surface Apr 11, 2026
Estimated-size surface Apr 3, 2026
1.75"
Estimated-size surface Mar 6, 2026
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