“Quarter size hail was reported in Forest Lakes. (LWX)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Hail in Charlottesville · Jul 4, 2026
Convective day · Jul 4, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The 2nd most severe storm Charlottesville has seen in the last 12 months
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
- Peak hail signal
- 38 /100
- Homes exposed
- 80 /100
- Ground truth
- 33 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Charlottesville saw the hail — from two instruments
Each storm gets two readings: the radar signatures NEXRAD recorded as the cells passed overhead, and a modeled estimate of hail size in the air. They are independent surfaces, so a mismatch between them is expected — and worth reading.
Radar signature field The point detections NEXRAD recorded overhead. Each signature marks where the radar saw hail aloft — it is a detection, not a stone measured on the ground.
Estimated size field Radar-estimated hail size over the swath. The model reports the biggest stone the storm could sustain in the air; what actually fell may have been smaller.
The storm in context
Where Jul 4, 2026 sits in Charlottesville's hail record.
This was Charlottesville's 3rd recorded hail day, arriving 22 days after the Jun 12, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 2nd of the 10 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Charlottesville at 1.5" — the largest NEXRAD radar signature.
The Jul 4, 2026 convective day was bigger than Charlottesville: the same system put hail over 2,035 other tracked cities, 122 of them in Virginia. Nearest: Covesville (7 miles south, up to 1.5"); Faber (7 miles south, up to 1.5"); Shipman (15 miles south, up to 2.5").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 10 Charlottesville storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
Hail reports
2 reports“Quarter sized hail. (LWX)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Storm forensics
How the storm moved
Read from the arrival times and locations of the NOAA ground reports, not a radar-measured storm track.
Hail was reported over 108 minutes, from to .
Reports came from Hollymead — beyond Charlottesville itself.
High damage potential
What 1.5" hail means for Charlottesville roofs.
Hail around an inch and a half is capable of cracking shingles, stripping granules, and denting gutters, vents, and siding. Risk is usually greatest near the strongest radar signal, but property-level damage still requires an on-site inspection.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
Potential roof exposure
$123M
Potential roof exposure — 10,252 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 51 jobs
- Illustrative work
- ~$765K
Close just 0.5% of the 10,252 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
July 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around July 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $2,153 on top of the $150 plan.
Charlottesville hail history
Other storms in Charlottesville.
Estimated-size surface Sep 2, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Aug 27, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Aug 22, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Aug 16, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Aug 14, 2026
2.5"
Estimated-size surface Jul 26, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Jul 6, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Jun 12, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface May 27, 2026
1.75"The next storm won’t wait for you.
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