Hail in Front Royal · Jul 4, 2026
Convective day · Jul 4, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The 2nd most severe storm Front Royal has seen in the last 12 months
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
- Peak hail signal
- 44 /100
- Homes exposed
- 57 /100
- Ground truth
- 0 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Front Royal saw the hail — from two instruments
We map this storm two ways: the NEXRAD radar signatures the storm produced overhead, and the radar-estimated size of the hail in the air. The two surfaces don’t have to match — where they diverge is where estimated size aloft ran ahead of, or behind, what the signatures caught.
Radar signature field NEXRAD radar signatures — the point detections the storm produced overhead. A signature is where the radar saw hail, not a confirmed stone on the ground.
Estimated size field Maximum hail size as estimated from radar aloft. Treat it as the storm's ceiling — the largest supportable stone — rather than a ground measurement.
The storm in context
Where Jul 4, 2026 sits in Front Royal's hail record.
This was Front Royal's 2nd recorded hail day, arriving 45 days after the May 20, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 2nd of the 6 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Front Royal at 1.75" — the largest NEXRAD radar signature.
The Jul 4, 2026 convective day was bigger than Front Royal: the same system put hail over 2,035 other tracked cities, 122 of them in Virginia. Nearest: Winchester (14 miles north, up to 1.75"); Hume (15 miles south, up to 0.5"); Charles Town (17 miles northeast, up to 1.5").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 6 Front Royal storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
Nobody on the ground filed a report over Front Royal for this date, which says more about who was watching than about the storm: spotter reports only exist where there is an observer. The radar surfaces above carry the evidence for this one.
High damage potential
What 1.75" hail means for Front Royal roofs.
Hail around an inch and a half is capable of cracking shingles, stripping granules, and denting gutters, vents, and siding. Risk is usually greatest near the strongest radar signal, but property-level damage still requires an on-site inspection.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
Potential roof exposure
$8.9M
Potential roof exposure — 738 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 4 jobs
- Illustrative work
- ~$60K
Close just 0.5% of the 738 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
July 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around July 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $155 on top of the $150 plan.
Front Royal hail history
Other storms in Front Royal.
Estimated-size surface Sep 4, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Sep 2, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Aug 27, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Jul 28, 2026
1.5"
Estimated-size surface May 20, 2026
0.5"The next storm won’t wait for you.
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