/ Storm field report · Fairfax

Hail in Oakton · Sep 3, 2026

Hit 9 days ago

The estimated-size surface reached 0.5" aloft; NEXRAD logged no point detections over Oakton that day. Open it on the live map to see the swath over the streets.

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Peak hail signal 0.5" ≈ pea to penny · radar-estimated size aloft
Homes in the hail footprint 3,047
Ground reports 1 1 wind
Radar surfaces 1 Estimated size only

Convective day · Sep 3, 2026 · noon–noon UTC

Severity

Oakton's only recorded storm in the last 12 months

Composite score · 2.7 / 10
Storm severity score

Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.

2.7 /10
Peak hail signal
13 /100

Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.

Homes exposed
70 /100

How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.

Ground truth
17 /100

Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.

Evidence / storm surfaces

How Oakton saw the hail — from two instruments

Sep 3, 2026 · Oakton, VA

The maps here read the same storm from two angles — point detections from NEXRAD, and modeled hail size aloft. Where the two disagree is informative: it marks where estimated size outran the signatures, or trailed them.

Radar-estimated hail size Surface resolved
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Oakton, VA on Sep 3, 2026 Estimated size field

The modeled maximum hail size across the swath, derived from radar aloft — the largest stone the storm could have supported, which is not necessarily what reached the ground.

Max size 0.5"

Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Sep 3, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Oakton, so there is one map to show, not two.

The storm in context

Where Sep 3, 2026 sits in Oakton's hail record.

This was Oakton's 1st recorded hail day — the first hail day in our records for the city. By severity it ranks 1st of the 1 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Oakton at 0.5" — radar-estimated size aloft.

The Sep 3, 2026 convective day was bigger than Oakton: the same system put hail over 494 other tracked cities, 16 of them in Virginia. Nearest: Clifton (9 miles southwest, up to 0.5"); Arlington (11 miles east, up to 1"); Ashburn (13 miles northwest, up to 0.5").

These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 1 Oakton storm date on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.

Ground reports

What people on the ground reported

1 report filed with the NWS

These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.

Wind reports

1 report
Wind gust 69 mph
1 NNW Tysons Corner Fairfax County

“Wind gust of 69 mph measured on Tyco Rd in Tysons (KVAVIENN164 PWS) (LWX)”

— NOAA / SPC storm report

Storm forensics

How the storm moved

Timing and place names from NOAA ground reports

Read from the arrival times and locations of the NOAA ground reports, not a radar-measured storm track.

Reports came from Tysons Corner — beyond Oakton itself.

Below the severe threshold

What 0.5" hail means for Oakton roofs.

Radar signals under three-quarters of an inch stay below the National Weather Service severe threshold and generally indicate lower roof risk. Older or already-worn materials can still show effects, but radar alone cannot determine whether a specific roof was damaged.

Radar reading · not confirmed damage

Roofing exposure

What this storm is worth to a roofer.

3,047 homes × $12,000 avg. claim

Potential roof exposure

$37M

Potential roof exposure — 3,047 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.

Illustrative jobs
15 jobs
Illustrative work
~$225K

Close just 0.5% of the 3,047 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.

Claim window

September 2028

Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around September 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.

Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $640 on top of the $150 plan.

Oakton hail history

1 recorded storm day in Oakton, VA

Take your next area into the field.

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A storm day here is a convective day — it runs from noon to noon UTC, so late-night hail is grouped with the afternoon storm that spawned it rather than split across two calendar dates. Ground reports are public-domain observations from the NOAA Storm Prediction Center. Radar tells you where to look. Only an inspection confirms damage at an address. Last updated Sep 4, 2026.