/ Storm field report · Fluvanna

Hail in Palmyra · Aug 14, 2026

Hit 29 days ago

NEXRAD logged 0 hail signatures up to 0"; the estimated-size surface reached 2.5" aloft. At 2.5" — baseball — this is a severe hail signal associated with roof damage. Open it on the live map to see the swath over the streets.

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Peak hail signal 2.5" ≈ baseball · radar-estimated size aloft
Homes in the hail footprint 5,501
Ground reports 4 4 hail
Radar surfaces 2 NEXRAD + estimated size

Convective day · Aug 14, 2026 · noon–noon UTC

Severity

The most severe storm Palmyra has seen in the last 12 months

Composite score · 6.6 / 10
Storm severity score

Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.

6.6 /10
Peak hail signal
63 /100

Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.

Homes exposed
75 /100

How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.

Ground truth
67 /100

Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.

Evidence / storm surfaces

How Palmyra saw the hail — from two instruments

Aug 14, 2026 · Palmyra, VA

Each storm gets two readings: the radar signatures NEXRAD recorded as the cells passed overhead, and a modeled estimate of hail size in the air. They are independent surfaces, so a mismatch between them is expected — and worth reading.

NEXRAD radar signatures Surface resolved
NEXRAD radar-signature map of the hail storm over Palmyra, VA on Aug 14, 2026 Radar signature field

The point detections NEXRAD recorded overhead. Each signature marks where the radar saw hail aloft — it is a detection, not a stone measured on the ground.

Max size 0" Detections 0
Radar-estimated hail size Surface resolved
Radar-estimated hail-size map of the storm over Palmyra, VA on Aug 14, 2026 Estimated size field

Radar-estimated hail size over the swath. The model reports the biggest stone the storm could sustain in the air; what actually fell may have been smaller.

Max size 2.5"

The storm in context

Where Aug 14, 2026 sits in Palmyra's hail record.

This was Palmyra's 1st recorded hail day — the first hail day in our records for the city. By severity it ranks 1st of the 2 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Palmyra at 2.5" — radar-estimated size aloft.

The Aug 14, 2026 convective day was bigger than Palmyra: the same system put hail over 316 other tracked cities, 18 of them in Virginia. Nearest: Scottsville (6 miles southwest, up to 2.5"); Columbia (13 miles southeast, up to 1"); Cartersville (18 miles southeast, up to 1.5").

These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 2 Palmyra storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.

Ground reports

What people on the ground reported

4 reports filed with the NWS

These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.

Hail reports

4 reports
Hail size 1.75"
1 E Lake Monticello Fluvanna County

“Golf ball sized hail reported in the Lake Monticello area. (AKQ)”

— NOAA / SPC storm report
Hail size 1.25"
1 E Lake Monticello Fluvanna County

“Report from mPING: Half Dollar (1.25 in.). (AKQ)”

— NOAA / SPC storm report
Hail size 2.75"
Union Mills Fluvanna County

“Baseball sized hail reported in Union Mills. Picture of dented car was also included. (AKQ)”

— NOAA / SPC storm report
Hail size 3.5"
Union Mills Fluvanna County

“3.5 inch measured hailstone in Union Mills... VA. (AKQ)”

— NOAA / SPC storm report

Storm forensics

How the storm moved

Timing and place names from NOAA ground reports

Read from the arrival times and locations of the NOAA ground reports, not a radar-measured storm track.

Reports came from Lake Monticello and Union Mills — beyond Palmyra itself.

Severe hail signal

What 2.5" hail means for Palmyra roofs.

Two-inch-plus hail is capable of puncturing shingles, breaking skylights or windows, and heavily denting soft materials. The strongest radar bands warrant prompt inspection, but neither the signal nor the footprint confirms damage at a specific address.

Radar reading · not confirmed damage

Roofing exposure

What this storm is worth to a roofer.

5,501 homes × $12,000 avg. claim

Potential roof exposure

$66M

Potential roof exposure — 5,501 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.

Illustrative jobs
28 jobs
Illustrative work
~$420K

Close just 0.5% of the 5,501 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.

Claim window

August 2028

Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around August 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.

Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $1,155 on top of the $150 plan.

Palmyra hail history

2 recorded storm days in Palmyra, VA

Take your next area into the field.

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A storm day here is a convective day — it runs from noon to noon UTC, so late-night hail is grouped with the afternoon storm that spawned it rather than split across two calendar dates. Ground reports are public-domain observations from the NOAA Storm Prediction Center. Radar tells you where to look. Only an inspection confirms damage at an address. Last updated Sep 3, 2026.