Hail in Stephens City · Sep 4, 2026
The estimated-size surface reached 1" aloft; NEXRAD logged no point detections over Stephens City that day. Open it on the live map to see the swath over the streets.
Convective day · Sep 4, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The most severe storm Stephens City has seen in the last 12 months
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
- Peak hail signal
- 25 /100
- Homes exposed
- 70 /100
- Ground truth
- 0 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Stephens City saw the hail — from two instruments
The maps here read the same storm from two angles — point detections from NEXRAD, and modeled hail size aloft. Where the two disagree is informative: it marks where estimated size outran the signatures, or trailed them.
Estimated size field The modeled maximum hail size across the swath, derived from radar aloft — the largest stone the storm could have supported, which is not necessarily what reached the ground.
Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Sep 4, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Stephens City, so there is one map to show, not two.
The storm in context
Where Sep 4, 2026 sits in Stephens City's hail record.
This was Stephens City's 2nd recorded hail day, arriving 100 days after the May 27, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 1st of the 2 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Stephens City at 1" — radar-estimated size aloft.
The Sep 4, 2026 convective day was bigger than Stephens City: the same system put hail over 482 other tracked cities, 75 of them in Virginia. Nearest: Front Royal (9 miles southeast, up to 1"); Boyce (13 miles southeast, up to 1"); Gore (13 miles northwest, up to 0.75").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 2 Stephens City storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
For this storm over Stephens City, the NWS report log is empty — a common outcome, since ground reports only happen when someone witnesses the hail and takes the time to call it in. The detection record for the date lives in the radar maps above.
Damage-capable hail signal
What 1" hail means for Stephens City roofs.
Quarter-size and larger hail can bruise asphalt mats, remove granules, and dent exposed soft metal. The mapped footprint identifies an inspection priority area — it does not identify which individual roofs, if any, sustained damage.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
Potential roof exposure
$39M
Potential roof exposure — 3,281 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 16 jobs
- Illustrative work
- ~$240K
Close just 0.5% of the 3,281 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
September 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around September 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $689 on top of the $150 plan.
Stephens City hail history
Other storms in Stephens City.
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