“63 mph wind gust measured at personal weather station. (TWC)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Hail in Vail · Jul 12, 2026
Convective day · Jul 12, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The most severe storm Vail has seen in the last 12 months
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
- Peak hail signal
- 44 /100
- Homes exposed
- 64 /100
- Ground truth
- 17 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Vail saw the hail — from two instruments
Each storm gets two readings: the radar signatures NEXRAD recorded as the cells passed overhead, and a modeled estimate of hail size in the air. They are independent surfaces, so a mismatch between them is expected — and worth reading.
Radar signature field The point detections NEXRAD recorded overhead. Each signature marks where the radar saw hail aloft — it is a detection, not a stone measured on the ground.
Estimated size field Radar-estimated hail size over the swath. The model reports the biggest stone the storm could sustain in the air; what actually fell may have been smaller.
The storm in context
Where Jul 12, 2026 sits in Vail's hail record.
This was Vail's 2nd recorded hail day, arriving 1 day after the Jul 11, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 1st of the 8 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Vail at 1.75" — the largest NEXRAD radar signature.
The Jul 12, 2026 convective day was bigger than Vail: the same system put hail over 367 other tracked cities, 37 of them in Arizona. Nearest: Benson (12 miles east, up to 1.5"); Tucson (16 miles northwest, up to 2.5"); Huachuca City (34 miles southeast, up to 1.25").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 8 Vail storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
Wind reports
1 reportStorm forensics
How the storm moved
Read from the arrival times and locations of the NOAA ground reports, not a radar-measured storm track.
Reports came from Tucson — beyond Vail itself.
High damage potential
What 1.75" hail means for Vail roofs.
Hail around an inch and a half is capable of cracking shingles, stripping granules, and denting gutters, vents, and siding. Risk is usually greatest near the strongest radar signal, but property-level damage still requires an on-site inspection.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
Potential roof exposure
$19M
Potential roof exposure — 1,561 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 8 jobs
- Illustrative work
- ~$120K
Close just 0.5% of the 1,561 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
July 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around July 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $328 on top of the $150 plan.
Estimated-size surface Sep 14, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Sep 12, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Aug 27, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Aug 21, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Aug 19, 2026
1.25"
Estimated-size surface Aug 5, 2026
1.25"
Estimated-size surface Jul 11, 2026
1.5"The next storm won’t wait for you.
Set your territory and alerts today. When hail hits, use Overview to choose your streets and get moving.
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