“Measured wind gust of 60 mph. (TWC)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
Hail in Vail · Sep 14, 2026
Convective day · Sep 14, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The 3rd most severe storm Vail has seen in the last 12 months
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
- Peak hail signal
- 19 /100
- Homes exposed
- 87 /100
- Ground truth
- 17 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Vail saw the hail — from two instruments
We map this storm two ways: the NEXRAD radar signatures the storm produced overhead, and the radar-estimated size of the hail in the air. The two surfaces don’t have to match — where they diverge is where estimated size aloft ran ahead of, or behind, what the signatures caught.
Estimated size field Maximum hail size as estimated from radar aloft. Treat it as the storm's ceiling — the largest supportable stone — rather than a ground measurement.
Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Sep 14, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Vail, so there is one map to show, not two.
The storm in context
Where Sep 14, 2026 sits in Vail's hail record.
This was Vail's 8th recorded hail day, arriving 2 days after the Sep 12, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 3rd of the 8 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Vail at 0.75" — radar-estimated size aloft.
The Sep 14, 2026 convective day was bigger than Vail: the same system put hail over 110 other tracked cities, 16 of them in Arizona. Nearest: Tucson (16 miles northwest, up to 0.75"); Amado (27 miles southwest, up to 0.5"); Dragoon (32 miles east, up to 0.5").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 8 Vail storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
Wind reports
1 reportStorm forensics
How the storm moved
Read from the arrival times and locations of the NOAA ground reports, not a radar-measured storm track.
Reports came from Tucson — beyond Vail itself.
Near the severe threshold
What 0.75" hail means for Vail roofs.
A signal this size sits near the National Weather Service severe threshold. Aging shingles and soft metals such as vents, flashing, and gutters may be more vulnerable; roof age, wind, and material condition all matter, and only an inspection can confirm damage.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
Potential roof exposure
$274M
Potential roof exposure — 22,866 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 114 jobs
- Illustrative work
- ~$1.7M
Close just 0.5% of the 22,866 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
September 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around September 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $4,802 on top of the $150 plan.
Estimated-size surface Sep 12, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Aug 27, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Aug 21, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Aug 19, 2026
1.25"
Estimated-size surface Aug 5, 2026
1.25"
Estimated-size surface Jul 12, 2026
1.75"
Estimated-size surface Jul 11, 2026
1.5"The next storm won’t wait for you.
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