Hail in Willcox · Oct 19, 2026
The estimated-size surface reached 1.25" aloft; NEXRAD logged no point detections over Willcox that day. Open it on the live map to see the swath over the streets.
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Convective day · Oct 19, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The 6th most severe storm Willcox has seen in the last 12 months
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
- Peak hail signal
- 31 /100
- Homes exposed
- 44 /100
- Ground truth
- 0 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Willcox saw the hail — from two instruments
Two instruments, one storm: NEXRAD logs the point signatures it detected overhead, while the estimated-size surface models how large the hail aloft could have grown. Agreement between them is not guaranteed — the gaps are where the model ran ahead of, or behind, the detections.
Estimated size field Radar-estimated maximum hail size across the swath, modeled from radar aloft. It reflects the biggest stone the storm could support, which may differ from what actually fell.
Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Oct 19, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Willcox, so there is one map to show, not two.
The storm in context
Where Oct 19, 2026 sits in Willcox's hail record.
This was Willcox's 17th recorded hail day, arriving 20 days after the Sep 29, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 6th of the 17 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Willcox at 1.25" — radar-estimated size aloft.
The Oct 19, 2026 convective day was bigger than Willcox: the same system put hail over 9 other tracked cities, 5 of them in Arizona. Nearest: Dragoon (28 miles south, up to 0.5"); Elfrida (59 miles south, up to 1.5"); Mc Neal (68 miles south, up to 1.25").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 17 Willcox storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
The National Weather Service logged no spotter reports for this storm over Willcox. That absence is ordinary — filing a report takes a person on the spot who saw the hail and phoned it in. What stands as the record for this date is the radar above, which caught the storm regardless.
Damage-capable hail signal
What 1.25" hail means for Willcox roofs.
Quarter-size and larger hail can bruise asphalt mats, remove granules, and dent exposed soft metal. The mapped footprint identifies an inspection priority area — it does not identify which individual roofs, if any, sustained damage.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
Potential roof exposure
$1.8M
Potential roof exposure — 150 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 1 job
- Illustrative work
- ~$15K
Close just 0.5% of the 150 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
October 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around October 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $32 on top of the $150 plan.
Willcox hail history
Other storms in Willcox.
Estimated-size surface Sep 29, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Sep 14, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Sep 12, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Sep 11, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Sep 9, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Aug 10, 2026
1.75"
Estimated-size surface Aug 7, 2026
1.25"
Estimated-size surface Aug 5, 2026
1"
Estimated-size surface Aug 3, 2026
1.25"
Estimated-size surface Jul 24, 2026
1.25"
Estimated-size surface Jul 20, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Jul 19, 2026
0.5"
Estimated-size surface Jul 14, 2026
0.75"
Estimated-size surface Jul 12, 2026
1.5"
Estimated-size surface Jul 11, 2026
1.5"
Estimated-size surface Jun 3, 2026
1.75"The next storm won’t wait for you.
Set your territory and alerts today. When hail hits, use Overview to choose your streets and get moving.
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