Wind gust 67 mph
Winifred Fergus County
“Winifred Airport. (TFX)”
— NOAA / SPC storm report
/ Storm field report · Fergus
Hail in Winifred · Aug 23, 2026
Hit 20 days ago
NEXRAD logged 0 hail signatures up to 0"; the estimated-size surface reached 0.75" aloft. Open it on the live map to see the swath over the streets.
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Peak hail signal 0.75" ≈ penny to nickel · radar-estimated size aloft
Homes in the hail footprint 372
Ground reports 1 1 wind
Radar surfaces 2 NEXRAD + estimated size
Convective day · Aug 23, 2026 · noon–noon UTC
Severity
The 5th most severe storm Winifred has seen in the last 12 months
Composite score · 2.7 / 10
Storm severity score
Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.
2.7 /10
- Peak hail signal
- 19 /100
- Homes exposed
- 51 /100
- Ground truth
- 17 /100
Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.
How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.
Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.
Evidence / storm surfaces
How Winifred saw the hail — from two instruments
Aug 23, 2026 · Winifred, MT
Two instruments, one storm: NEXRAD logs the point signatures it detected overhead, while the estimated-size surface models how large the hail aloft could have grown. Agreement between them is not guaranteed — the gaps are where the model ran ahead of, or behind, the detections.
NEXRAD radar signatures Surface resolved
Radar signature field NEXRAD's hail signatures for this storm: the spots the radar detected from above. A detection overhead is not the same thing as a confirmed stone below.
Max size
0"
Detections
0
Radar-estimated hail size Surface resolved
Estimated size field Radar-estimated maximum hail size across the swath, modeled from radar aloft. It reflects the biggest stone the storm could support, which may differ from what actually fell.
Max size
0.75"
The storm in context
Where Aug 23, 2026 sits in Winifred's hail record.
This was Winifred's 5th recorded hail day, arriving 40 days after the Jul 14, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 5th of the 6 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Winifred at 0.75" — radar-estimated size aloft.
The Aug 23, 2026 convective day was bigger than Winifred: the same system put hail over 185 other tracked cities, 18 of them in Montana. Nearest: Denton (22 miles west, up to 0.75"); Grass Range (47 miles southeast, up to 0.75"); Chinook (56 miles north, up to 1").
These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 6 Winifred storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.
Ground reports
What people on the ground reported
1 report filed with the NWS
These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.
Wind reports
1 reportNear the severe threshold
What 0.75" hail means for Winifred roofs.
A signal this size sits near the National Weather Service severe threshold. Aging shingles and soft metals such as vents, flashing, and gutters may be more vulnerable; roof age, wind, and material condition all matter, and only an inspection can confirm damage.
Radar reading · not confirmed damage
Roofing exposure
What this storm is worth to a roofer.
372 homes × $12,000 avg. claim
Potential roof exposure
$4.5M
Potential roof exposure — 372 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.
- Illustrative jobs
- 2 jobs
- Illustrative work
- ~$30K
Close just 0.5% of the 372 homes in this footprint at the average $15,000 roof job. Illustrative math, not a projection — your results depend on your outreach and how the market responds.
Claim window
August 2028
Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around August 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.
Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $78 on top of the $150 plan.
Winifred hail history
Other storms in Winifred.
6 recorded storm days in Winifred, MT
Map unavailable
NEXRAD surface Storm date Winifred / MT
Sep 6, 2026
2.5" Estimated 2.5"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Estimated-size surface Storm date Winifred / MT
Jul 14, 2026
1" Estimated 1"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Estimated-size surface Storm date Winifred / MT
Jul 8, 2026
1.75" Signatures 1.75" Estimated 1"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Estimated-size surface Storm date Winifred / MT
Jul 5, 2026
2.5" Signatures 2.5" Estimated 1"
2 ground reports Open report →
Estimated-size surface Storm date Winifred / MT
Jun 26, 2026
3.25" Signatures 3.25" Estimated 1.75"
No ground reports filed Open report →
Take your next area into the field.
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A storm day here is a convective day — it runs from noon to noon
UTC, so late-night hail is grouped with the afternoon storm that
spawned it rather than split across two calendar dates. Ground
reports are public-domain observations from the NOAA Storm
Prediction Center. Radar tells you where to look. Only an inspection confirms damage at an address. Last updated Sep 7, 2026.