/ Storm field report · Fergus

Hail in Winifred · Sep 6, 2026

Hit 6 days ago

The estimated-size surface reached 2.5" aloft; NEXRAD logged no point detections over Winifred that day. At 2.5" — baseball — this is a severe hail signal associated with roof damage. Open it on the live map to see the swath over the streets.

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Peak hail signal 2.5" ≈ baseball · radar-estimated size aloft
Homes in the hail footprint 89
Ground reports 0 none filed
Radar surfaces 1 Estimated size only

Convective day · Sep 6, 2026 · noon–noon UTC

Severity

The 3rd most severe storm Winifred has seen in the last 12 months

Composite score · 4.7 / 10
Storm severity score

Overview's storm severity score weighs hailstone size, homes in the footprint, and ground-truth reports.

4.7 /10
Peak hail signal
63 /100

Largest radar-indicated size — a signal of damage potential, not confirmation.

Homes exposed
39 /100

How many homes sit inside the storm's footprint.

Ground truth
0 /100

Independent storm reports filed with the NWS.

Evidence / storm surfaces

How Winifred saw the hail — from two instruments

Sep 6, 2026 · Winifred, MT

Each storm gets two readings: the radar signatures NEXRAD recorded as the cells passed overhead, and a modeled estimate of hail size in the air. They are independent surfaces, so a mismatch between them is expected — and worth reading.

Radar-estimated hail size Surface resolved
Map image is still rendering for this surface.

Radar-estimated hail size over the swath. The model reports the biggest stone the storm could sustain in the air; what actually fell may have been smaller.

Max size 2.5"

Only the radar-estimated size surface resolved for Sep 6, 2026 — this storm produced no NEXRAD point detections over Winifred, so there is one map to show, not two.

The storm in context

Where Sep 6, 2026 sits in Winifred's hail record.

This was Winifred's 6th recorded hail day, arriving 14 days after the Aug 23, 2026 storm. By severity it ranks 3rd of the 6 storms we have logged here. Radar put the day's largest stone over Winifred at 2.5" — radar-estimated size aloft.

The Sep 6, 2026 convective day was bigger than Winifred: the same system put hail over 608 other tracked cities, 49 of them in Montana. Nearest: Hilger (14 miles south, up to 2.75"); Roy (21 miles southeast, up to 2.5"); Denton (22 miles west, up to 1.5").

These maps are stills. In the app this date is one of 6 Winifred storm dates on a live map — both surfaces, the reports, and a replay — and the same map is where you draw the swath. This page rebuilds nightly.

Ground reports

What people on the ground reported

No reports filed with the NWS

These are storm reports filed with the National Weather Service and released through the NOAA Storm Prediction Center — public-domain observations from spotters, the public, and NWS surveys. We quote each one exactly as filed.

The National Weather Service logged no spotter reports for this storm over Winifred. That absence is ordinary — filing a report takes a person on the spot who saw the hail and phoned it in. What stands as the record for this date is the radar above, which caught the storm regardless.

Severe hail signal

What 2.5" hail means for Winifred roofs.

Two-inch-plus hail is capable of puncturing shingles, breaking skylights or windows, and heavily denting soft materials. The strongest radar bands warrant prompt inspection, but neither the signal nor the footprint confirms damage at a specific address.

Radar reading · not confirmed damage

Roofing exposure

What this storm is worth to a roofer.

89 homes × $12,000 avg. claim

Potential roof exposure

$1.1M

Potential roof exposure — 89 homes × the ~$12,000 industry-average hail roof claim. Exposure, not confirmed damage.

Claim window

September 2028

Claims from this storm can typically be filed until around September 2028 — the window to reach these homeowners while it's still open. Deadlines vary by policy and state.

Names and phones for every home in the footprint: at most $19 on top of the $150 plan.

Winifred hail history

6 recorded storm days in Winifred, MT

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A storm day here is a convective day — it runs from noon to noon UTC, so late-night hail is grouped with the afternoon storm that spawned it rather than split across two calendar dates. Ground reports are public-domain observations from the NOAA Storm Prediction Center. Radar tells you where to look. Only an inspection confirms damage at an address. Last updated Sep 7, 2026.